Southside Bancshares Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Southside Bancshares stock upgraded from Sell Candidate to Hold/Accumulate after Tuesday trading session.
(Updated on Jul 02, 2024)
The Southside Bancshares stock price gained 0.258% on the last trading day (Tuesday, 2nd Jul 2024), rising from $27.14 to $27.21. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.92% from a day low at $27.12 to a day high of $27.64. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 5.1% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -7 thousand shares and in total, 67 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $1.82 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock lies the upper part of a falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break up at the top trend line at $27.56 will firstly indicate a slower falling rate, but may be the first sign of a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -5.59% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $23.83 and $26.02 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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SBSI Signals & Forecast
The Southside Bancshares stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $26.82 and $26.70. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, June 28, 2024, and so far it has fallen -1.45%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Southside Bancshares stock
Southside Bancshares finds support from accumulated volume at $27.13 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $0.520 between high and low, or 1.92%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.11%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $26.27 (-3.44%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 11 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (SBSI) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 3rd
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 3rd we expect Southside Bancshares to open at $27.32, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $26.67 and $27.75, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.540 (+/-1.98%) up or down from last closing price. If Southside Bancshares takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.97% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $27.13 (0.29%) than the resistance at $27.61 (1.47%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Southside Bancshares stock A Buy?
Southside Bancshares holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.882 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Southside Bancshares of Wednesday, July 3, 2024
| Fair opening price July 3, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $27.32 ( 0.417%) | $27.21 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for SBSI
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 27.84 | 2.33% |
| R2 | 27.64 | 1.60% |
| R1 | 27.52 | 1.15% |
| Price | 27.21 | |
| S1 | 27.12 | -0.314% |
| S2 | 27.00 | -0.765% |
| S3 | 26.80 | -1.49% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 27.67 | 1.69% |
| R2 | 27.66 | 1.65% |
| R1 | 27.61 | 1.47% |
| Price | 27.21 | |
| S1 | 27.13 | -0.294% |
| S2 | 26.66 | -2.02% |
| S3 | 26.22 | -3.64% |
SBSI Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | May 09, 2024 | May 22, 2024 | Jun 06, 2024 | $0.360 | 1.37% |
| 2 | Feb 01, 2024 | Feb 14, 2024 | Feb 29, 2024 | $0.360 | 1.26% |
| 3 | Nov 02, 2023 | Nov 21, 2023 | Dec 07, 2023 | $0.370 | 1.22% |
| 4 | Aug 03, 2023 | Aug 16, 2023 | Sep 01, 2023 | $0.350 | 1.14% |
| 5 | May 04, 2023 | May 22, 2023 | Jun 06, 2023 | $0.350 | 1.21% |
FAQ
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