Schwab Short-Term U.S. Treasury ETF Forecast
Red day on Friday for Schwab Short-Term U.S. Treasury ETF after losing 0.0416%
(Updated on May 17, 2024)
The Schwab Short-Term U.S. Treasury ETF price fell by -0.0416% on the last day (Friday, 17th May 2024) from $48.03 to $48.01. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.0625% from a day low at $48.00 to a day high of $48.03. The price has risen in 5 of the last 10 days and is up by 0.17% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the ETF, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the ETF. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -222 thousand shares and in total, 473 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $22.70 million.
The ETFis at the upper part of a narrow and horizontal trend and normally this may pose a good selling opportunity but a break-up through the top trend line at $48.04 will give a strong buy signal and a trend shift could be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Schwab Short-Term U.S. Treasury ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $47.33 and $47.68 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETFS seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETFS turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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SCHO Signals & Forecast
The Schwab Short-Term U.S. Treasury ETF holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $47.99 and $47.92. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, May 15, 2024, and so far it has fallen -0.0832%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements. The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Monday, November 13, 2023 in the long-term chart.
Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.
Golden Star 12 Months
The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Monday, November 13, 2023 in the long-term chart.Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Schwab Short-Term U.S. Treasury ETF
Schwab Short-Term U.S. Treasury finds support from accumulated volume at $47.99 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.0300 between high and low, or 0.0625%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.0667%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $45.39 (-5.46%) (This ETF has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 2 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (SCHO) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 20th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 20th we expect Schwab Short-Term U.S. Treasury ETF to open at $48.01, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $47.95 and $48.07, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.0551 (+/-0.11%) up or down from last closing price. If Schwab Short-Term U.S. Treasury ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.23% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $47.99 (0.04%) than the resistance at $48.16 (0.31%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Schwab Short-Term U.S. Treasury ETF ETF A Buy?
Schwab Short-Term U.S. Treasury holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.
Current score: -0.538 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Schwab Short-Term U.S. Treasury ETF of Monday, May 20, 2024
Fair opening price May 20, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$48.01 ( 0.0069%) | $48.01 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for SCHO
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 48.04 | 0.0694 % | |
R2 | 48.03 | 0.0456 % | ||
R1 | 48.02 | 0.0308 % | ||
Current price: | 48.01 | |||
Support | S1 | 48.00 | -0.0169 % | |
S2 | 47.99 | -0.0317 % | ||
S3 | 47.98 | -0.0555 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 48.18 | 0.354 % | |
R2 | 48.17 | 0.333 % | ||
R1 | 48.16 | 0.312 % | ||
Current price | 48.01 | |||
Support | S1 | 47.99 | -0.0417% | |
S2 | 47.91 | -0.208% | ||
S3 | 47.86 | -0.312% |
SCHO Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | May 01, 2024 | May 01, 2024 | May 07, 2024 | $0.167 | 0.349% |
2 | Jan 09, 2024 | Apr 01, 2024 | Apr 05, 2024 | $0.166 | 0.347% |
3 | Jan 09, 2024 | Mar 01, 2024 | Mar 07, 2024 | $0.183 | 0.380% |
4 | Jan 09, 2024 | Feb 01, 2024 | Feb 07, 2024 | $0.177 | 0.366% |
5 | Dec 15, 2023 | Dec 15, 2023 | Dec 15, 2023 | $0.157 | 0.326% |
FAQ
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