SCHWAB INTERMEDIATE-TERM U.S. TREASURY ETF Forecast
SCHWAB INTERMEDIATE-TERM U.S. TREASURY ETF upgraded to Buy Candidate.
(Updated on Jun 28, 2024)
The SCHWAB INTERMEDIATE-TERM U.S. TREASURY ETF price fell by -0.184% on the last day (Friday, 28th Jun 2024) from $48.86 to $48.77. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.461% from a day low at $48.76 to a day high of $48.98. The price has risen in 5 of the last 10 days but is still down by -0.37% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 251 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 617 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $30.09 million.
The ETF is moving within a narrow and horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect SCHWAB INTERMEDIATE-TERM U.S. TREASURY ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $49.03 and $49.80 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETFS seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETFS turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
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SCHR Signals & Forecast
The SCHWAB INTERMEDIATE-TERM U.S. TREASURY ETF holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the ETF giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $48.88. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $48.60. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, June 18, 2024, and so far it has fallen -0.469%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the ETF should be followed more closely. The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Tuesday, May 14, 2024 for the short-term and also have Golden Star Signal for the medium-term dated Wednesday, June 12, 2024.
Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.
Golden Star
The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Tuesday, May 14, 2024 for the short-term and also have Golden Star Signal for the medium-term dated Wednesday, June 12, 2024.Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.
Golden Star 12 Months
The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Tuesday, May 14, 2024 for the short-term and also have Golden Star Signal for the medium-term dated Wednesday, June 12, 2024.Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for SCHWAB INTERMEDIATE-TERM U.S. TREASURY ETF
SCHWAB INTERMEDIATE-TERM U.S. TREASURY finds support from accumulated volume at $48.04 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.225 between high and low, or 0.461%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.199%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $47.29 (-3.03%) (This ETF has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 51 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (SCHR) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 1st
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 1st we expect SCHWAB INTERMEDIATE-TERM U.S. TREASURY ETF SCHWAB INTERMEDIATE-TERM U.S. TREASURY ETF to open at $48.83, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $48.60 and $48.94, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.167 (+/-0.34%) up or down from last closing price. If SCHWAB INTERMEDIATE-TERM U.S. TREASURY ETF SCHWAB INTERMEDIATE-TERM U.S. TREASURY ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.68% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $48.92 (0.31%) than the support at $48.04 (1.50%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is SCHWAB INTERMEDIATE-TERM U.S. TREASURY ETF SCHWAB INTERMEDIATE-TERM U.S. TREASURY ETF ETF A Buy?
Several short-term signals are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity, as there is a fair chance for SCHWAB INTERMEDIATE-TERM U.S. TREASURY ETF to perform well in the short-term period. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Buy candidate.
Current score: 1.547 Buy Candidate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for SCHWAB INTERMEDIATE-TERM U.S. TREASURY ETF SCHWAB INTERMEDIATE-TERM U.S. TREASURY ETF of Monday, July 1, 2024
Fair opening price July 1, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$48.83 ( 0.133%) | $48.77 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for SCHR
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |
---|---|---|
R3 | 49.06 | 0.594% |
R2 | 48.97 | 0.418% |
R1 | 48.92 | 0.309% |
Price | 48.77 | |
S1 | 48.75 | -0.0429% |
S2 | 48.70 | -0.152% |
S3 | 48.61 | -0.328% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |
---|---|---|
R3 | 49.00 | 0.472% |
R2 | 48.94 | 0.349% |
R1 | 48.92 | 0.308% |
Price | 48.77 | |
S1 | 48.04 | -1.50% |
S2 | 47.99 | -1.60% |
S3 | 47.87 | -1.85% |
SCHR Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | May 01, 2024 | May 01, 2024 | May 07, 2024 | $0.149 | 0.308% |
2 | Jan 11, 2024 | Apr 01, 2024 | Apr 05, 2024 | $0.153 | 0.315% |
3 | Jan 11, 2024 | Feb 01, 2024 | Feb 07, 2024 | $0.152 | 0.310% |
4 | Dec 15, 2023 | Dec 15, 2023 | Dec 15, 2023 | $0.134 | 0.271% |
5 | Dec 01, 2023 | Dec 01, 2023 | Dec 01, 2023 | $0.155 | 0.317% |
FAQ
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