Origin Agritech Limited Stock Forecast
Green day on Wednesday for Origin Agritech Limited stock after gaining 1.53%
(Updated on Mar 27, 2024)
The Origin Agritech Limited stock price gained 1.53% on the last trading day (Wednesday, 27th Mar 2024), rising from $3.92 to $3.98. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 6.70% from a day low at $3.73 to a day high of $3.98. The price has risen in 8 of the last 10 days and is up by 32.23% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -32 thousand shares and in total, 53 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $211.07 thousand. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock lies in the upper part of a very wide and strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break-up at the top trend line at $4.05 will firstly indicate a stronger rate of rising. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 84.22% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $4.98 and $7.46 at the end of this 3-month period.
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SEED Signals & Forecast
The Origin Agritech Limited stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $3.68 and $2.93. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, March 25, 2024, and so far it has fallen -0.251%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell during the last trading day while the price increased. This causes a divergence and may be considered as an early warning, but it may also not.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Origin Agritech Limited stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $3.78 and $3.34. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Origin Agritech Limited finds support just below today's level at $3.78. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $3.34 and $3.10.
This stock may move very much during the day (volatility) and with periodic low trading volume this stock is considered to be "very high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $0.250 between high and low, or 6.70%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 9.81%.
The Origin Agritech Limited stock is overbought on RSI14 and lies in the upper part of the trend. Normally this may pose a good selling opportunity for the short-term trader, but some stocks may go long and hard while being overbought. Regardless, the high RSI together with the trend position increases the risk and higher daily movements (volatility) should be expected. A correction down in the nearby future seems very likely and it is of great importance that the stock manages to break the trend before that occurs.
Our recommended stop-loss: $3.86 (-2.91%) (This stock has very high daily movements and this gives very high risk. The RSI14 is 84 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 2 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (SEED) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 28th
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 28th we expect Origin Agritech Limited to open at $3.90, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $3.64 and $4.32, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.343 (+/-8.62%) up or down from last closing price. If Origin Agritech Limited takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 17.24% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $3.99 (0.25%) than the support at $3.78 (5.03%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Origin Agritech Limited stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for Origin Agritech Limited stock to perform well in the short-term.
Current score: 3.693 Buy Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Origin Agritech Limited of Thursday, March 28, 2024
Fair opening price March 28, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$3.90 ( 2.09%) | $3.98 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for SEED
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 4.15 | 4.19 % | |
R2 | 4.05 | 1.79 % | ||
R1 | 3.99 | 0.306 % | ||
Current price: | 3.98 | |||
Support | S1 | 3.80 | -4.49 % | |
S2 | 3.74 | -5.98 % | ||
S3 | 3.65 | -8.38 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 0 | . | |
R2 | 0 | . | ||
R1 | 3.99 | 0.251 % | ||
Current price | 3.98 | |||
Support | S1 | 3.78 | -5.03% | |
S2 | 3.34 | -16.08% | ||
S3 | 3.10 | -22.11% |
FAQ
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