SGD/JPY Stock Forecast
Evaluation of SGD/JPY stock downgraded after the last trading session.
(Updated on Jun 20, 2024)
The SGD/JPY stock price gained 0.444% on the last trading day (Thursday, 20th Jun 2024), rising from JP¥116.85 to JP¥117.36. It has now gained 3 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 0.381% from a day low at JP¥116.92 to a day high of JP¥117.37. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 1.37% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -7 thousand shares and in total, 34 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately JP¥4.03 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock lies in the middle of a narrow and weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 4.29% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between JP¥120.84 and JP¥124.19 at the end of this 3-month period.
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SGDJPY Signals & Forecast
The SGD/JPY stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at JP¥116.53 and JP¥116.00. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Sunday, May 05, 2024, and so far it has risen 3.48%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for SGD/JPY stock
SGD/JPY finds support from accumulated volume at JP¥114.86 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved JP¥0.446 between high and low, or 0.381%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 0.565%.
Our recommended stop-loss: JP¥113.23 (-3.52%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 45 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (SGDJPY) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 21st
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 21st we expect SGD/JPY to open at JP¥117.22, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between JP¥116.35 and JP¥118.37, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-JP¥1.01 (+/-0.86%) up or down from last closing price. If SGD/JPY takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.72% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no resistance above and support from accumulated volume @ JP¥114.86, some JP¥2.50 (2.13%) from the current price of JP¥117.36, our system finds the risk reward attractive.
Is SGD/JPY stock A Buy?
SGD/JPY holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.000 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded
Zero in score indicates that our system is expecting high volatility and risk for the following trading day. Given the latest developments, we cannot determine the next direction as it may go both ways.
Predicted Opening Price for SGD/JPY of Friday, June 21, 2024
Fair opening price June 21, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
JP¥117.22 ( 0.126%) | JP¥117.36 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for SGDJPY
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |
---|---|---|
R3 | 117.66 | 0.254% |
R2 | 117.49 | 0.109% |
R1 | 117.39 | 0.0196% |
Price | 117.36 | |
S1 | 117.05 | -0.271% |
S2 | 116.94 | -0.360% |
S3 | 116.77 | -0.506% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |
---|---|---|
R3 | 0 | - |
R2 | 0 | - |
R1 | 0 | - |
Price | 117.36 | |
S1 | 114.86 | -2.13% |
S2 | 114.16 | -2.73% |
S3 | 112.99 | -3.72% |
FAQ
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