Vaneck Vectors Semiconductor Etf ETF Forecast

Sell candidate since Aug 06, 2026 Gain 1.96%

The VanEck Vectors Semiconductor ETF price gained 1.96% on the last trading day (Friday, 7th Aug 2026), rising from $571.48 to $582.70. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 2.40% from a day low at $572.33 to a day high of $586.09. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 3.83% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -6 million shares and in total, 0 shares were bought and sold for approximately $0 . You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.

The ETF lies in the middle of a very wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to fall -3.35% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $484.87 and $634.83 at the end of this 3-month period.

SMH Signals & Forecast

A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, July 29, 2026, and so far it has risen 15.56%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The VanEck Vectors Semiconductor ETF holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the ETF giving a more negative forecast for the ETF. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $588.47. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the short-term average at $560.64. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Volume fell during the last trading day while the price increased. This causes a divergence and may be considered as an early warning, but it may not be. The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for VanEck Vectors Semiconductor ETF

VanEck Vectors Semiconductor finds support from accumulated volume at $569.69 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered very low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the ETF During the last day, the ETF moved $13.76 between high and low, or 2.40%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 3.29%

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (SMH) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 10th

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 10th we expect VanEck Vectors Semiconductor ETF to open at $580.37, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $569.74 and $595.66, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$25.92 (+/-4.55%) up or down from last closing price. If VanEck Vectors Semiconductor ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.55% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $591.01 (1.43%) than the support at $569.69 (2.23%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is VanEck Vectors Semiconductor ETF ETF A Buy?

VanEck Vectors Semiconductor holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this ETF.

Current score: -3.083 Sell Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on August 10, 2026 - $580.37 ( 0.399%).

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