SPDR Portfolio MSCI Global Stock Market ETF Forecast

SPDR Portfolio MSCI Global Stock Market ETF upgraded from Hold/Accumulate to Buy Candidate after Thursday trading session.
(Updated on May 16, 2024)

SPGM Signals & Forecast

The SPDR Portfolio MSCI Global Stock Market ETF holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $59.99 and $58.68. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, May 15, 2024, and so far it has fallen -0.198%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for SPDR Portfolio MSCI Global Stock Market ETF

SPDR Portfolio MSCI Global Stock Market finds support from accumulated volume at $59.60 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This ETF is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.260 (0.429%) between high and low. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.493%.

The SPDR Portfolio MSCI Global Stock Market ETF is overbought on RSI14 and lies in the upper part of the trend. Normally this may pose a good selling opportunity for the short-term trader, but some ETFS may go long and hard while being overbought. Regardless, the high RSI together with the trend position increases the risk and higher daily movements (volatility) should be expected. A correction down in the nearby future seems very likely and it is of great importance that the ETF manages to break the trend before that occurs.

Our recommended stop-loss: $58.46 (-3.56%) (This ETF has low daily movements and this gives low risk. The RSI14 is 76 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 1 day ago.)

Trading Expectations (SPGM) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 17th

For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 17th we expect SPDR Portfolio MSCI Global Stock Market ETF to open at $60.70, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $60.09 and $61.13, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.516 (+/-0.85%) up or down from last closing price. If SPDR Portfolio MSCI Global Stock Market ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.70% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $60.73 (0.20%) than the support at $59.60 (1.67%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is SPDR Portfolio MSCI Global Stock Market ETF ETF A Buy?

Several short-term signals are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity, as there is a fair chance for SPDR Portfolio MSCI Global Stock Market ETF to perform well in the short-term period. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Buy candidate.

Current score: 3.860 Buy Candidate Upgraded

Predicted Opening Price for SPDR Portfolio MSCI Global Stock Market ETF of Friday, May 17, 2024

The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.