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Weaker technical forecast for Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility as ETF downgraded to Sell Candidate
(Updated on Jun 03, 2026)
The Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility ETF price gained 0.0838% on the last trading day (Wednesday, 3rd Jun 2026), rising from $71.64 to $71.70. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.10% from a day low at $71.56 to a day high of $72.35. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -2.36% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -361 thousand shares and in total, 2 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $143.19 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The ETF lies in the lower of a falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $71.24 is broken, it will firstly indicate a stronger fall rate. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to fall -2.72% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $69.30 and $72.92 at the end of this 3-month period.
SPLV Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Monday, June 01, 2026, and so far it has risen 0.547%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The ETF should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $72.46 and $73.36. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility ETF
Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility finds support from accumulated volume at $71.64 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.790 between high and low, or 1.10%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.92%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (SPLV) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 4th
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 4th we expect Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility ETF to open at $71.87, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $71.34 and $72.06, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.730 (+/-1.02%) up or down from last closing price. If Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.02% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $71.64 (0.08%) than the resistance at $72.34 (0.89%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility ETF ETF A Buy?
Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility holds several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this ETF. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Sell candidate.
Current score:
-1.075
Sell Candidate
Downgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on June 4, 2026 - $71.87 ( 0.237%).
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SPLV Performance
Trading levels for SPLV
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 72.66 | 1.34% |
| R2 | 72.36 | 0.92% |
| R1 | 72.17 | 0.658% |
| Price | 71.70 | |
| S1 | 71.57 | -0.184% |
| S2 | 71.38 | -0.444% |
| S3 | 71.08 | -0.86% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 73.76 | 2.87% |
| R2 | 72.63 | 1.30% |
| R1 | 72.34 | 0.89% |
| Price | 71.70 | |
| S1 | 71.64 | -0.0837% |
| S2 | 71.31 | -0.544% |
| S3 | 0 | - |
SPLV Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | May 18, 2026 | May 18, 2026 | May 22, 2026 | $0.136 | 0.186% |
| 2 | Apr 20, 2026 | Apr 20, 2026 | Apr 24, 2026 | $0.137 | 0.186% |
| 3 | Mar 23, 2026 | Mar 23, 2026 | Mar 27, 2026 | $0.135 | 0.186% |
| 4 | Feb 23, 2026 | Feb 23, 2026 | Feb 27, 2026 | $0.135 | 0.177% |
| 5 | Jan 20, 2026 | Jan 20, 2026 | Jan 23, 2026 | $0.135 | 0.186% |
FAQ
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