1st Source Stock Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Jun 04, 2026 Gain 9.50%

The 1st Source Corporation stock price gained 0.368% on the last trading day (Monday, 13th Jul 2026), rising from $81.44 to $81.74. It has now gained 3 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 0.95% from a day low at $81.44 to a day high of $82.22. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -0.27% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 33 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 101 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $8.24 million.

The stock lies in the middle of a strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 13.08% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $86.96 and $95.48 at the end of this 3-month period.

SRCE Signals & Forecast

The 1st Source Corporation stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $81.57 and $77.89. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, July 01, 2026, and so far it has fallen -1.88%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for 1st Source Corporation stock

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $76.91 and $74.67. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, 1st Source Corporation finds support just below today's level at $76.91. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $74.67 and $73.11.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.775 between high and low, or 0.95%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.70%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $78.36 (-4.13%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 7 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (SRCE) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 14th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 14th we expect 1st Source Corporation to open at $81.80, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $80.89 and $82.59, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.70 (+/-2.10%) up or down from last closing price. If 1st Source Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.10% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $81.95 (0.26%) than the support at $76.91 (5.91%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is 1st Source Corporation stock A Buy?

Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for 1st Source Corporation stock to perform well in the short-term. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Buy candidate.

Current score: 1.071 Buy Candidate Upgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on July 14, 2026 - $81.80 ( 0.0714%).

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