1st Source Stock Forecast

Sell candidate since Jun 03, 2026

The 1st Source Corporation stock price fell by -2.05% on the last day (Wednesday, 3rd Jun 2026) from $74.26 to $72.74. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.18% from a day low at $72.58 to a day high of $74.16. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 0.47% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 70 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 156 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $11.31 million.

The stock lies in the lower part of a strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $72.04 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 10.15% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $79.36 and $86.26 at the end of this 3-month period.

SRCE Signals & Forecast

Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The 1st Source Corporation stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $73.63 and $73.31. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, April 20, 2026, and so far it has fallen -2.70%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for 1st Source Corporation stock

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $68.39 and $68.10. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, 1st Source Corporation finds support just below today's level at $68.39. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $68.10 and $66.20.

In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $1.58 between high and low, or 2.18%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.20%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (SRCE) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 4th

For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 4th we expect 1st Source Corporation to open at $73.16, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $71.94 and $73.54, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.59 (+/-2.22%) up or down from last closing price. If 1st Source Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.22% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $73.23 (0.67%) than the support at $68.39 (5.98%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is 1st Source Corporation stock A Buy?

The 1st Source Corporation stock holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe 1st Source Corporation will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Sell candidate.

Current score: -4.306 Sell Candidate Downgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on June 4, 2026 - $73.16 ( 0.577%).

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