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Weaker technical forecast for TCP Capital Corp. as stock downgraded to Sell Candidate
(Updated on Nov 17, 2025)

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Sell candidate since Nov 17, 2025

The TCP Capital Corp. stock price fell by -2.42% on the last day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025) from $5.79 to $5.65. It has now fallen 3 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.31% from a day low at $5.63 to a day high of $5.76. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days but is still up by 0.36% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 127 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 547 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $3.09 million.

The stock lies the upper part of a wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break up at the top trend line at $5.80 will firstly indicate a slower falling rate, but may be the first sign of a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -25.06% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $3.50 and $4.34 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.

TCPC Signals & Forecast

A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, October 10, 2025, and so far it has risen 3.48%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The TCP Capital Corp. stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $5.74 and $5.76. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for TCP Capital Corp. stock

TCP Capital Corp. finds support from accumulated volume at $5.63 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $0.130 between high and low, or 2.31%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.43%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (TCPC) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect TCP Capital Corp. to open at $5.68, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $5.57 and $5.73, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.152 (+/-2.73%) up or down from last closing price. If TCP Capital Corp. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.73% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $5.63 (0.35%) than the resistance at $5.70 (0.88%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Dividend Warning For TCPC

Dividend coming up for TCPC: Ex-dividend date (Wednesday 17th December, 2025) is 28 days away. The dividend is $0.250.

Is TCP Capital Corp. stock A Buy?

TCP Capital Corp. holds several negative signals and is within a wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Sell candidate.

Current score: -2.347 Sell Candidate Downgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - $5.68 ( 0.531%).

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TCPC Performance

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Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels

Level Price
R3 5.81 2.83%
R2 5.76 1.95%
R1 5.73 1.41%
Price 5.65
S1 5.63 -0.348%
S2 5.60 -0.89%
S3 5.55 -1.77%

Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels

Level Price
R3 6.12 8.32%
R2 5.79 2.48%
R1 5.70 0.88%
Price 5.65
S1 5.63 -0.354%
S2 5.52 -2.30%
S3 5.46 -3.36%

TCPC Dividend Payout History


# Declaration Date Ex-Date Pay Date Amount Yield
1 Nov 06, 2025 Dec 17, 2025 Dec 31, 2025 $0.250 4.41%
2 Aug 07, 2025 Sep 16, 2025 Sep 30, 2025 $0.290 4.06%
3 May 08, 2025 Jun 16, 2025 Jun 30, 2025 $0.250 3.23%
4 Feb 27, 2025 Mar 17, 2025 Mar 31, 2025 $0.290 3.62%
5 Nov 06, 2024 Dec 17, 2024 Dec 31, 2024 $0.440 5.05%

FAQ

What is the symbol for TCP Capital Corp. Stock and on which exchange is it traded?
The symbol for TCP Capital Corp. is TCPC and it is traded on the NASDAQ (NASDAQ Stock Exchange).

Should I buy or sell TCP Capital Corp. Stock?
TCP Capital Corp. holds several negative signals and is within a wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Sell candidate.

How to buy TCP Capital Corp. Stock?
TCP Capital Corp. Stock can be purchased through just about any brokerage firm, including online brokerage services.
Click here for our free guide on how to buy TCP Capital Corp. Stock.

What's the current price of TCP Capital Corp. Stock?
As of the end of day on the Nov 17, 2025, the price of an TCP Capital Corp. (TCPC) share was $5.65.

What is the 52-week high and low for TCP Capital Corp. Stock?
The 52-week high for TCP Capital Corp. Stock is $9.72 and the 52-week low is $5.39.

What is the market capitalization of TCP Capital Corp. Stock?
As of the Nov 17, 2025, the market capitalization of TCP Capital Corp. is 480.972M.

When is the next earnings date for TCP Capital Corp.?
The upcoming earnings date for TCP Capital Corp. is Feb 26, 2026.
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ABOUT TCP CAPITAL CORP.
TCP Capital
BlackRock TCP Capital Corp. is a business development company specializing in direct equity and debt investments in middle-market, debt securities, senior secured loans, junior loans, originated loans, mezzanine, senior debt instruments, bonds, and secondary-market investments. It typically invests in communication services, public relations services, television, wireless telecommunication services, apparel, textile mills, restaurants, retailing,...
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