Toyota Motor Corp Ltd Ord Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Toyota Motor Corp Ltd Ord stock downgraded to Sell Candidate
(Updated on Apr 26, 2024)
The Toyota Motor Corp Ltd Ord stock price gained 0.599% on the last trading day (Friday, 26th Apr 2024), rising from $225.36 to $226.71. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.07% from a day low at $224.57 to a day high of $226.98. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -6.69% for this period. Volume fell on the last day by -83 thousand shares and in total, 232 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $52.57 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock lies in the lower part of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $224.49 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 10.71% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $248.53 and $293.04 at the end of this 3-month period.
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TM Signals & Forecast
Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Toyota Motor Corp Ltd Ord stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $229.46 and $240.24. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, March 22, 2024, and so far it has fallen -11.01%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Toyota Motor Corp Ltd Ord stock
Toyota Motor Corp Ltd Ord finds support from accumulated volume at $223.05 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $2.41 between high and low, or 1.07%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.20%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (TM) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 29th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 29th we expect Toyota Motor Corp Ltd Ord to open at $226.09, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $222.37 and $231.05, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$4.34 (+/-1.92%) up or down from last closing price. If Toyota Motor Corp Ltd Ord takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.83% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $223.05 (1.61%) than the resistance at $231.00 (1.89%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Toyota Motor Corp Ltd Ord stock A Buy?
The Toyota Motor Corp Ltd Ord stock holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe Toyota Motor Corp Ltd Ord will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -3.623 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Toyota Motor Corp Ltd Ord of Monday, April 29, 2024
| Fair opening price April 29, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $226.09 ( 0.275%) | $226.71 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for TM
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 228.50 | 0.788 % | |
| R2 | 227.58 | 0.382 % | ||
| R1 | 227.01 | 0.131 % | ||
| Current price: | 226.71 | |||
| Support | S1 | 225.17 | -0.681 % | |
| S2 | 224.60 | -0.93 % | ||
| S3 | 223.68 | -1.34 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 242.15 | 6.81 % | |
| R2 | 234.45 | 3.41 % | ||
| R1 | 231.00 | 1.89 % | ||
| Current price | 226.71 | |||
| Support | S1 | 223.05 | -1.61% | |
| S2 | 218.86 | -3.46% | ||
| S3 | 203.03 | -10.45% |
TM Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 06, 2023 | Sep 28, 2023 | Dec 04, 2023 | $2.00 | 1.07% |
| 2 | Mar 06, 2023 | Mar 30, 2023 | Jun 06, 2023 | $2.50 | 1.68% |
| 3 | Sep 13, 2022 | Sep 29, 2022 | Dec 07, 2022 | $1.76 | 1.24% |
| 4 | Mar 08, 2022 | Mar 30, 2022 | Jun 06, 2022 | $2.20 | 1.33% |
| 5 | Sep 29, 2021 | Sep 29, 2021 | Dec 06, 2021 | $2.10 | 1.14% |
FAQ
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