Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. Stock Forecast

Sell candidate since Apr 03, 2025 Loss -17.50%

The Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. stock price fell by -0.92% on the last day (Thursday, 17th Apr 2025) from $6.52 to $6.46. It has now fallen 3 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.65% from a day low at $6.43 to a day high of $6.60. The price has fallen in 8 of the last 10 days and is down by -17.5% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 111 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 407 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $2.63 million.

The stock has broken the wide and falling short-term trend down. Firstly a stronger fallrate is indicated, but false breaks and "sell-off" may occur. However, a further fall is realistic and any reactions back to the breaking point ($6.57) are considered to be a "second chance" to get out. According to the fan-theory $5.34 will represent the new bottom line of the next trend, but it is far too early to say this for certain.

TMCI Signals & Forecast

There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $6.79 and $8.00. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, March 24, 2025, and so far it has fallen -25.66%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. stock

There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the stock may perform very badly in the next couple of days.

This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $0.170 between high and low, or 2.65%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 5.40%.

Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. is oversold on RSI14 (17). Some stock may drop long and hard while being oversold on RSI before turning, which increases the general risk.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (TMCI) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 21st

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 21st we expect Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. to open at $6.49, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $5.96 and $6.96, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.499 (+/-7.73%) up or down from last closing price. If Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 15.45% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ $7.41, some $0.95 (14.71%) from the current price of $6.46, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.

Is Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. stock A Buy?

Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. holds several negative signals and is within a wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock.

Current score: -5.658 Strong Sell Candidate Unchanged

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Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on April 21, 2025 - $6.49 ( 0.516%).