- Excellent financial health (Piotroski 7/9)
- Lower volatility than the market (beta 0.03)
- Strong operating margin of 30.0%
Is TMX Group Ltd. stock still a buy after falling -6.47% on Tuesday?
(Updated on Jun 02, 2026)
The TMX Group Ltd. stock price fell by -6.47% on the last day (Tuesday, 2nd Jun 2026) from $37.01 to $34.62. It has now fallen 3 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 6.37% from a day low at $34.62 to a day high of $36.82. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -12.1% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 300 shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 400 shares were bought and sold for approximately $13.85 thousand.
Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 14.09% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $39.49 and $48.57 at the end of this 3-month period.
TMXXF Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The TMX Group Ltd. stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $37.53 and $39.35. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, May 05, 2026, and so far it has fallen -15.54%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). TMX Group Ltd. gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs". The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for TMX Group Ltd. stock
TMX Group Ltd. finds support from accumulated volume at $34.52 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $2.21 between high and low, or 6.37%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.60%.
TMX Group Ltd. is oversold on RSI14 (12). Some stocks may fall long and hard while being oversold on RSI, but stocks that are heavily oversold on RSI often pose good re-bounce chance and played well it can be a buy candidate.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (TMXXF) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 3rd
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 3rd we expect TMX Group Ltd. to open at $35.35, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $34.32 and $34.91, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.584 (+/-1.70%) up or down from last closing price. If TMX Group Ltd. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.70% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $34.64 (0.07%) than the support at $34.52 (0.27%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is TMX Group Ltd. stock A Buy?
The TMX Group Ltd. stock holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe TMX Group Ltd. will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
Current score:
-2.447
Sell Candidate
Unchanged
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on June 3, 2026 - $35.35 ( 2.12%).
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TMXXF Performance
Trading levels for TMXXF
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 37.56 | 8.49% |
| R2 | 36.71 | 6.06% |
| R1 | 36.19 | 4.56% |
| Price | 34.62 | |
| S1 | 34.51 | -0.310% |
| S2 | 33.99 | -1.81% |
| S3 | 33.15 | -4.25% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 35.70 | 3.13% |
| R2 | 35.43 | 2.35% |
| R1 | 34.64 | 0.0722% |
| Price | 34.62 | |
| S1 | 34.52 | -0.274% |
| S2 | 34.49 | -0.361% |
| S3 | 34.44 | -0.517% |
TMXXF Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | May 22, 2026 | May 22, 2026 | Jun 05, 2026 | $0.176 | 0.430% |
| 2 | Feb 05, 2026 | Feb 20, 2026 | Mar 06, 2026 | $0.175 | 0.513% |
| 3 | Oct 27, 2025 | Nov 14, 2025 | Nov 28, 2025 | $0.157 | 0.429% |
| 4 | Aug 15, 2025 | Aug 15, 2025 | Aug 29, 2025 | $0.160 | 0.386% |
| 5 | May 23, 2025 | May 23, 2025 | Jun 06, 2025 | $0.144 | 0.358% |
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