Turning Point Brands Stock Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Jul 01, 2026 Loss -1.64%

The Turning Point Brands Inc stock price fell by -1.64% on the last day (Thursday, 2nd Jul 2026) from $87.37 to $85.94. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 6.05% from a day low at $84.41 to a day high of $89.52. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 8.02% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 8 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 395 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $33.98 million.

The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 6.92% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $81.55 and $103.96 at the end of this 3-month period.

TPB Signals & Forecast

The Turning Point Brands Inc stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $85.48 and $85.42. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Monday, June 22, 2026, and so far it has risen 13.90%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Turning Point Brands Inc stock

Turning Point Brands Inc finds support from accumulated volume at $82.05 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $5.11 between high and low, or 6.05%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 5.60%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $83.48 (-2.86%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 8 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (TPB) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 6th

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 6th we expect Turning Point Brands Inc to open at $86.62, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $83.79 and $88.09, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$4.31 (+/-5.14%) up or down from last closing price. If Turning Point Brands Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.14% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $82.05 (4.53%) than the resistance at $90.22 (4.98%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is Turning Point Brands Inc stock A Buy?

Turning Point Brands Inc holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold candidate.

Current score: 0.957 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on July 6, 2026 - $86.62 ( 0.793%).

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