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TrustCo Bank Corp NY stock downgraded to Hold/Accumulate
(Updated on Nov 17, 2025)
The TrustCo Bank Corp NY stock price fell by -3.37% on the last day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025) from $40.10 to $38.75. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 4.27% from a day low at $38.60 to a day high of $40.25. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 1.1% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 34 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 118 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $4.59 million.
The stock is moving within a wide and horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect TrustCo Bank Corp NY stock with a 90% probability to be traded between $34.34 and $40.24 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stock seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Stock turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
TRST Signals & Forecast
The TrustCo Bank Corp NY stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $39.59. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $37.40. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, November 11, 2025, and so far it has fallen -3.39%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for TrustCo Bank Corp NY stock
TrustCo Bank Corp NY finds support from accumulated volume at $38.33 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $1.65 between high and low, or 4.27%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.48%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $37.21 (-3.99%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 4 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (TRST) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect TrustCo Bank Corp NY to open at $39.20, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $38.27 and $39.23, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.97 (+/-2.53%) up or down from last closing price. If TrustCo Bank Corp NY takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.53% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $39.12 (0.95%) than the support at $38.33 (1.08%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is TrustCo Bank Corp NY stock A Buy?
TrustCo Bank Corp NY holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold candidate.
Current score:
-0.458
Hold/Accumulate
Downgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - $39.20 ( 1.16%).
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TRST Performance
Trading levels for TRST
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 40.85 | 5.42% |
| R2 | 40.22 | 3.79% |
| R1 | 39.83 | 2.79% |
| Price | 38.75 | |
| S1 | 38.57 | -0.465% |
| S2 | 38.18 | -1.47% |
| S3 | 37.55 | -3.10% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 40.11 | 3.51% |
| R2 | 39.79 | 2.68% |
| R1 | 39.12 | 0.95% |
| Price | 38.75 | |
| S1 | 38.33 | -1.08% |
| S2 | 38.03 | -1.86% |
| S3 | 36.00 | -7.10% |
TRST Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 19, 2025 | Sep 05, 2025 | Oct 01, 2025 | $0.380 | 1.00% |
| 2 | May 21, 2025 | Jun 06, 2025 | Jul 01, 2025 | $0.360 | 1.14% |
| 3 | Feb 19, 2025 | Mar 07, 2025 | Apr 01, 2025 | $0.360 | 1.18% |
| 4 | Nov 19, 2024 | Dec 06, 2024 | Jan 02, 2025 | $0.360 | 1.10% |
| 5 | Aug 20, 2024 | Sep 06, 2024 | Oct 01, 2024 | $0.360 | 1.11% |
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