Texas Roadhouse Stock Forecast

Hold candidate since Nov 17, 2025

The Texas Roadhouse stock price gained 1.41% on the last trading day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025), rising from $167.35 to $169.71. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.72% from a day low at $166.86 to a day high of $171.40. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 5.38% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 732 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 1 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $238.31 million.

The stock lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -2.07% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $152.60 and $174.21 at the end of this 3-month period.

TXRH Signals & Forecast

The Texas Roadhouse stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock, but the stock has a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $166.21 and $168.67. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday, November 06, 2025, and so far it has risen 5.59%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Texas Roadhouse stock

Texas Roadhouse finds support from accumulated volume at $165.76 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $4.54 between high and low, or 2.72%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.43%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $161.86 (-4.63%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 7 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (TXRH) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect Texas Roadhouse to open at $169.32, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $167.44 and $171.98, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$4.54 (+/-2.71%) up or down from last closing price. If Texas Roadhouse takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.71% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $169.83 (0.07%) than the support at $165.76 (2.33%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Dividend Warning For TXRH

Dividend coming up for TXRH: Ex-dividend date (Tuesday 2nd December, 2025) is 13 days away. The dividend is $0.680.

Is Texas Roadhouse stock A Buy?

Texas Roadhouse holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold candidate.

Current score: 0.661 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - $169.32 ( 0.228%).

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