Usd/pln Currency Pair Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Jun 23, 2026 Gain 0.86%

The USD/PLN currency pair price gained 0.313% on the last trading day (Friday, 17th Jul 2026), rising from 3.78zł to 3.79zł. During the last trading day the currency pair fluctuated 0.637% from a day low at 3.78zł to a day high of 3.81zł. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 1.23% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 50 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 52 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately 195.85zł thousand.

The currency pair lies in the middle of a narrow and weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the currency pair is expected to rise 5.54% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between 3.92zł and 4.03zł at the end of this 3-month period.

USDPLN Signals & Forecast

The USD/PLN currency pair holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the currency pair. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at 3.79zł and 3.72zł. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. USD/PLN has increased volume and follows the last lift in the price. This is considered to be a technical positive sign as volume should follow the price-formation. Higher liquidity also reduces the general risk. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, July 13, 2026, and so far it has fallen -0.334%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). The currency pair had a Golden Star Signal on Wednesday, May 13, 2026 for the short-term and also have Golden Star Signal for the medium-term dated Wednesday, May 13, 2026.

Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the currency pair in question.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for USD/PLN currency pair

USD/PLN finds support from accumulated volume at 3.74zł and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the currency pair tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this currency pair. During the last day, the currency pair moved 0.0241zł between high and low, or 0.637%. For the last week the currency pair has had daily average volatility of 0.433%.

Our recommended stop-loss: 3.64zł (-3.97%) (This currency pair has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 4 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (USDPLN) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 20th

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 20th we expect USD/PLN to open at 3.79zł, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between 3.78zł and 3.81zł, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-0.0243zł (+/-0.64%) up or down from last closing price. If USD/PLN takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.64% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at 3.81zł (0.33%) than the support at 3.74zł (1.54%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is USD/PLN currency pair A Buy?

Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for USD/PLN currency pair to perform well in the short-term.

Current score: 2.594 Buy Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on July 20, 2026 - 3.79zł ( 0.0167%).

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