Vanguard Long-Term Corporate Bond ETF Forecast

Sell candidate since Apr 17, 2025

The Vanguard Long-Term Corporate Bond ETF price fell by -0.379% on the last day (Thursday, 17th Apr 2025) from $73.79 to $73.51. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.737% from a day low at $73.32 to a day high of $73.86. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still down by -3.14% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the ETF, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the ETF. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -2 million shares and in total, 1 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $84.71 million.

The ETF is moving within a horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Vanguard Long-Term Corporate Bond ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $70.74 and $75.30 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETF seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETF turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.

VCLT Signals & Forecast

A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday, April 10, 2025, and so far it has risen 1.93%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Vanguard Long-Term Corporate Bond ETF holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the ETF giving a more negative forecast for the ETF. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $75.30. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the short-term average at $73.22. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Vanguard Long-Term Corporate Bond ETF

Vanguard Long-Term Corporate Bond finds support from accumulated volume at $73.45 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This ETF is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.540 (0.737%) between high and low. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.31%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (VCLT) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 21st

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 21st we expect Vanguard Long-Term Corporate Bond ETF to open at $73.56, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $72.43 and $74.59, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.08 (+/-1.47%) up or down from last closing price. If Vanguard Long-Term Corporate Bond ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.94% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $73.45 (0.08%) than the resistance at $75.51 (2.72%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is Vanguard Long-Term Corporate Bond ETF ETF A Buy?

Vanguard Long-Term Corporate Bond holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this ETF. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.

Current score: -1.166 Sell Candidate Downgraded

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Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on April 21, 2025 - $73.56 ( 0.0680%).