Invesco High Income Trust II Stock Forecast
Weaker technical forecast for Invesco High Income Trust II as stock downgraded to Sell Candidate.
(Updated on Jun 25, 2024)
The Invesco High Income Trust II stock price fell by -0.284% on the last day (Tuesday, 25th Jun 2024) from $10.57 to $10.54. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 0.81% from a day low at $10.54 to a day high of $10.62. The price has fallen in 5 of the last 10 days and is down by -0.65% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 12 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 20 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $213.88 thousand.
The stock is moving within a narrow and horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Invesco High Income Trust II stock with a 90% probability to be traded between $10.34 and $10.85 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stocks seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Stocks turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
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VLT Signals & Forecast
Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Invesco High Income Trust II stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $10.57 and $10.61. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, June 05, 2024, and so far it has fallen -1.68%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Invesco High Income Trust II gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs". The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Tuesday, April 30, 2024 in the long-term chart.
Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.
Golden Star 12 Months
The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Tuesday, April 30, 2024 in the long-term chart.Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.
A sell signal from a double top formation was found on Wednesday, June 05, 2024 and based on theory for this formation the price should fall by -1.14% to $10.42 within 20 trading days since signal was issued (Friday, July 05, 2024).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Invesco High Income Trust II stock
Invesco High Income Trust II finds support from accumulated volume at $10.43 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $0.0849 between high and low, or 0.81%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 0.785%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (VLT) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 26th
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 26th we expect Invesco High Income Trust II to open at $10.57, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $10.45 and $10.63, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.0935 (+/-0.89%) up or down from last closing price. If Invesco High Income Trust II takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.77% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $10.60 (0.57%) than the support at $10.43 (1.04%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Invesco High Income Trust II stock A Buy?
Invesco High Income Trust II holds several negative signals and is within a narrow and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -1.482 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Invesco High Income Trust II of Wednesday, June 26, 2024
| Fair opening price June 26, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $10.57 ( 0.238%) | $10.54 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for VLT
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 10.65 | 1.04% |
| R2 | 10.62 | 0.735% |
| R1 | 10.60 | 0.545% |
| Price | 10.54 | |
| S1 | 10.53 | -0.0702% |
| S2 | 10.51 | -0.260% |
| S3 | 10.48 | -0.568% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 10.72 | 1.71% |
| R2 | 10.64 | 0.90% |
| R1 | 10.60 | 0.569% |
| Price | 10.54 | |
| S1 | 10.43 | -1.04% |
| S2 | 10.42 | -1.14% |
| S3 | 10.20 | -3.23% |
VLT Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | May 15, 2024 | May 15, 2024 | May 31, 2024 | $0.0964 | 0.92% |
| 2 | Apr 01, 2024 | Apr 15, 2024 | Apr 30, 2024 | $0.0964 | 0.92% |
| 3 | Mar 01, 2024 | Mar 14, 2024 | Mar 28, 2024 | $0.0964 | 0.90% |
| 4 | Jan 29, 2024 | Feb 15, 2024 | Feb 29, 2024 | $0.0964 | 0.91% |
| 5 | Jan 02, 2024 | Jan 16, 2024 | Jan 31, 2024 | $0.0964 | 0.92% |
FAQ
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