Vanguard Tax-exempt Bond Index Fund Etf Shares ETF Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since May 28, 2026 Gain 0.30%

The VANGUARD TAX-EXEMPT BOND INDEX FUND ETF price fell by -0.0198% on the last day (Tuesday, 23rd Jun 2026) from $50.44 to $50.43. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.0992% from a day low at $50.41 to a day high of $50.46. The price has fallen in 5 of the last 10 days but is still up by 0.28% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the ETF, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the ETF. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -3 million shares and in total, 5 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $248.66 million.

The ETF is moving within a narrow and horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect VANGUARD TAX-EXEMPT BOND INDEX FUND ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $50.15 and $51.03 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETFS seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETFS turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.

VTEB Signals & Forecast

The VANGUARD TAX-EXEMPT BOND INDEX FUND ETF holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $50.37 and $50.19. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, June 18, 2026, and so far it has fallen -0.0396%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements. The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Tuesday, May 26, 2026 in the short-term chart.

Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for VANGUARD TAX-EXEMPT BOND INDEX FUND ETF

VANGUARD TAX-EXEMPT BOND INDEX FUND finds support from accumulated volume at $50.34 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.0500 between high and low, or 0.0992%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.201%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $47.00 (-6.80%) (This ETF has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 2 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (VTEB) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 24th

For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 24th we expect VANGUARD TAX-EXEMPT BOND INDEX FUND ETF SHARES to open at $50.43, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $50.36 and $50.50, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.131 (+/-0.26%) up or down from last closing price. If VANGUARD TAX-EXEMPT BOND INDEX FUND ETF SHARES takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.26% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $50.44 (0.02%) than the support at $50.34 (0.18%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is VANGUARD TAX-EXEMPT BOND INDEX FUND ETF SHARES ETF A Buy?

Several short-term signals are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity, as there is a fair chance for VANGUARD TAX-EXEMPT BOND INDEX FUND ETF to perform well in the short-term period. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Buy candidate.

Current score: 2.396 Buy Candidate Upgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on June 24, 2026 - $50.43 ( 0.0066%).

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