Vanguard Tax-exempt Bond Index Fund Etf Shares ETF Forecast

Hold candidate since Nov 17, 2025

The VANGUARD TAX-EXEMPT BOND INDEX FUND ETF price gained 0.139% on the last trading day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025), rising from $50.27 to $50.34. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.139% from a day low at $50.32 to a day high of $50.39. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 0.06% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -411 thousand shares and in total, 6 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $290.70 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.

The ETF lies in the lower part of a narrow and weak rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $50.21 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 3.39% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $51.91 and $52.79 at the end of this 3-month period.

VTEB Signals & Forecast

Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The ETF should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The VANGUARD TAX-EXEMPT BOND INDEX FUND ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the ETF. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $50.39 and $50.34. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, October 22, 2025, and so far it has fallen -0.494%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for VANGUARD TAX-EXEMPT BOND INDEX FUND ETF

VANGUARD TAX-EXEMPT BOND INDEX FUND finds support from accumulated volume at $49.99 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.0700 between high and low, or 0.139%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.181%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $47.25 (-6.13%) (This ETF has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 18 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (VTEB) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect VANGUARD TAX-EXEMPT BOND INDEX FUND ETF SHARES to open at $50.35, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $50.29 and $50.39, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.108 (+/-0.21%) up or down from last closing price. If VANGUARD TAX-EXEMPT BOND INDEX FUND ETF SHARES takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.21% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $50.39 (0.10%) than the support at $49.99 (0.70%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is VANGUARD TAX-EXEMPT BOND INDEX FUND ETF SHARES ETF A Buy?

VANGUARD TAX-EXEMPT BOND INDEX FUND holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold candidate.

Current score: 0.298 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - $50.35 ( 0.0199%).

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