Valvoline Inc Stock Forecast
Valvoline Inc stock price ended at $41.19 on Thursday, after losing 0.121%.
(Updated on Apr 18, 2024)
The Valvoline Inc stock price fell by -0.121% on the last day (Thursday, 18th Apr 2024) from $41.24 to $41.19. It has now fallen 5 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.45% from a day low at $40.92 to a day high of $41.51. The price has fallen in 8 of the last 10 days and is down by -3.13% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 23 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 656 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $27.03 million.
Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 19.16% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $49.08 and $56.39 at the end of this 3-month period.
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VVV Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Valvoline Inc stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $41.84 and $43.39. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, March 21, 2024, and so far it has fallen -8.45%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Valvoline Inc stock
Valvoline Inc finds support from accumulated volume at $40.40 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.595 between high and low, or 1.45%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.08%.
Valvoline Inc is oversold on RSI14 (21). Some stocks may drop long and hard while being oversold on RSI before turning, which increases the general risk.
Our recommended stop-loss: $39.65 (-3.75%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. Low RSI14 is 21 which reduces the risk some. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 19 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (VVV) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 19th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 19th we expect Valvoline Inc to open at $41.21, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $40.36 and $42.02, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.83 (+/-2.00%) up or down from last closing price. If Valvoline Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.01% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $40.40 (1.92%) than the resistance at $43.20 (4.88%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Valvoline Inc stock A Buy?
Valvoline Inc holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.
Current score: -0.284 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Valvoline Inc of Friday, April 19, 2024
Fair opening price April 19, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$41.21 ( 0.0364%) | $41.19 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for VVV
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 41.80 | 1.48 % | |
R2 | 41.57 | 0.93 % | ||
R1 | 41.43 | 0.588 % | ||
Current price: | 41.19 | |||
Support | S1 | 40.98 | -0.515 % | |
S2 | 40.84 | -0.86 % | ||
S3 | 40.61 | -1.41 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 44.14 | 7.16 % | |
R2 | 43.75 | 6.22 % | ||
R1 | 43.20 | 4.88 % | ||
Current price | 41.19 | |||
Support | S1 | 40.40 | -1.92% | |
S2 | 39.36 | -4.44% | ||
S3 | 37.06 | -10.03% |
VVV Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Nov 21, 2022 | Dec 01, 2022 | Dec 15, 2022 | $0.125 | 0.403% |
2 | Jul 20, 2022 | Aug 30, 2022 | Sep 15, 2022 | $0.125 | 0.451% |
3 | Apr 21, 2022 | May 27, 2022 | Jun 15, 2022 | $0.125 | 0.407% |
4 | Jan 24, 2022 | Feb 25, 2022 | Mar 15, 2022 | $0.125 | 0.419% |
5 | Nov 11, 2021 | Nov 26, 2021 | Dec 15, 2021 | $0.125 | 0.355% |
FAQ
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