|
ETF Analysis PRO New!
|
|
| Risk Assessment |
|
| Trading Strategy |
|
Vanguard High Dividend Yield Index Fund ETF downgraded from Hold/Accumulate to Sell Candidate after Monday trading session
(Updated on Nov 17, 2025)
The Vanguard High Dividend Yield Index Fund ETF price fell by -1.04% on the last day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025) from $141.01 to $139.54. It has now fallen 3 days in a row. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.59% from a day low at $139.16 to a day high of $141.37. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -0.14% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 13 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 2 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $245.77 million.
The ETF is moving within a narrow and horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Vanguard High Dividend Yield Index Fund ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $140.83 and $146.27 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETF seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETF turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
VYM Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Vanguard High Dividend Yield Index Fund ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the ETF. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $141.14 and $140.72. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, November 12, 2025, and so far it has fallen -2.33%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the ETF should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Vanguard High Dividend Yield Index Fund ETF
Vanguard High Dividend Yield Index Fund finds support from accumulated volume at $139.49 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $2.22 between high and low, or 1.59%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.14%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (VYM) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect Vanguard High Dividend Yield Index Fund ETF Shares to open at $140.02, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $138.82 and $140.26, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.44 (+/-1.04%) up or down from last closing price. If Vanguard High Dividend Yield Index Fund ETF Shares takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.04% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $139.49 (0.04%) than the resistance at $140.58 (0.75%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Vanguard High Dividend Yield Index Fund ETF Shares ETF A Buy?
Vanguard High Dividend Yield Index Fund holds several negative signals and is within a narrow and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this ETF. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Sell candidate.
Current score:
-2.225
Sell Candidate
Downgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - $140.02 ( 0.345%).
Want to trade but not sure how?
Our step-by-step guide can help.
Skip the guide? Open account with our trusted broker* 
*Your capital is at risk
VYM Performance
Trading levels for VYM
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 142.24 | 1.93% |
| R2 | 141.39 | 1.33% |
| R1 | 140.87 | 0.95% |
| Price | 139.54 | |
| S1 | 139.18 | -0.261% |
| S2 | 138.65 | -0.636% |
| S3 | 137.81 | -1.24% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 141.25 | 1.23% |
| R2 | 140.85 | 0.94% |
| R1 | 140.58 | 0.745% |
| Price | 139.54 | |
| S1 | 139.49 | -0.0358% |
| S2 | 139.16 | -0.272% |
| S3 | 137.47 | -1.48% |
VYM Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 19, 2025 | Sep 19, 2025 | Sep 23, 2025 | $0.84 | 0.599% |
| 2 | Jun 20, 2025 | Jun 20, 2025 | Jun 24, 2025 | $0.86 | 0.655% |
| 3 | Jan 20, 2025 | Mar 21, 2025 | Mar 25, 2025 | $0.85 | 0.658% |
| 4 | Feb 29, 2024 | Dec 20, 2024 | Dec 24, 2024 | $0.96 | 0.747% |
| 5 | Feb 29, 2024 | Sep 20, 2024 | Sep 24, 2024 | $0.85 | 0.666% |
FAQ
Click here for our free guide on how to buy Vanguard High Dividend Yield Index Fund ETF Shares ETF.
Buy VYM
A sell signal from a double top formation was found on Wednesday, November 12, 2025 and based on theory for this formation the price should fall by -3.26% to $134.99 within 12 trading days (Monday, December 01, 2025) since signal was issued.