Watsco Inc Stock Forecast
Green day on Friday for Watsco Inc
(Updated on May 03, 2024)
The Watsco Inc stock price gained 1.86% on the last trading day (Friday, 3rd May 2024), rising from $456.08 to $464.55. It has now gained 3 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.40% from a day low at $455.64 to a day high of $466.56. The price has risen in 8 of the last 10 days and is up by 17.04% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 61 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 284 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $132.00 million.
The stock lies in the upper part of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break-up at the top trend line at $467.73 will firstly indicate a stronger rate of rising. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 13.55% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $460.92 and $531.10 at the end of this 3-month period.
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WSO Signals & Forecast
The Watsco Inc stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $450.59 and $428.65. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, April 19, 2024, and so far it has risen 17.04%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Friday, September 15, 2023 in the long-term chart.
Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.
Golden Star 12 Months
The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Friday, September 15, 2023 in the long-term chart.Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Watsco Inc stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $440.60 and $404.20. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Watsco Inc finds support just below today's level at $440.60. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $404.20 and $384.17.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $10.92 between high and low, or 2.40%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.03%.
The Watsco Inc stock is overbought on RSI14 and lies in the upper part of the trend. Normally this may pose a good selling opportunity for the short-term trader, but some stocks may go long and hard while being overbought and the RSI is still moving upwards. Regardless, the high RSI together with the trend position increases the risk and higher daily movements (volatility) should be expected. A correction down in the nearby future seems very likely, and it is of great importance that the stock manages to break the trend before that occurs.
Our recommended stop-loss: $448.76 (-3.40%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. The RSI14 is 80 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 10 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (WSO) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 6th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 6th we expect Watsco Inc to open at $462.25, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $453.20 and $475.90, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$11.35 (+/-2.44%) up or down from last closing price. If Watsco Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.89% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no resistance above and support from accumulated volume @ $440.60, some $23.95 (5.16%) from the current price of $464.55, our system finds the risk reward attractive.
Is Watsco Inc stock A Buy?
Watsco Inc holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.
Current score: 0.000 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged
Zero in score indicates that our system is expecting high volatility and risk for the following trading day. Given the latest developments, we cannot determine the next direction as it may go both ways.
Predicted Opening Price for Watsco Inc of Monday, May 6, 2024
| Fair opening price May 6, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $462.25 ( 0.495%) | $464.55 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for WSO
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 473.17 | 1.86 % | |
| R2 | 469.00 | 0.96 % | ||
| R1 | 466.42 | 0.403 % | ||
| Current price: | 464.55 | |||
| Support | S1 | 458.08 | -1.39 % | |
| S2 | 455.50 | -1.95 % | ||
| S3 | 451.33 | -2.85 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 0 | . | |
| R2 | 0 | . | ||
| R1 | 0 | . | ||
| Current price | 464.55 | |||
| Support | S1 | 440.60 | -5.16% | |
| S2 | 404.20 | -12.99% | ||
| S3 | 384.17 | -17.30% |
WSO Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Apr 01, 2024 | Apr 12, 2024 | Apr 30, 2024 | $2.70 | 0.603% |
| 2 | Jan 02, 2024 | Jan 16, 2024 | Jan 31, 2024 | $2.45 | 0.627% |
| 3 | Oct 02, 2023 | Oct 16, 2023 | Oct 31, 2023 | $2.45 | 0.702% |
| 4 | Jul 03, 2023 | Jul 14, 2023 | Jul 31, 2023 | $2.45 | 0.648% |
| 5 | Apr 03, 2023 | Apr 14, 2023 | Apr 28, 2023 | $2.45 | 0.707% |
FAQ
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