- Low bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score: 9.68)
- Highly efficient cash conversion (95% FCF/OCF ratio)
- Solid financial health (Piotroski 5/9)
Red day on Friday for Watsco Inc
(Updated on Jul 17, 2026)
The Watsco Inc stock price fell by -3.44% on the last day (Friday, 17th Jul 2026) from $385.16 to $371.91. It has now fallen 3 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 5.17% from a day low at $368.11 to a day high of $387.14. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days and is down by -8.1% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 81 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 354 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $131.79 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -10.68% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $298.26 and $363.67 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
WSO Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Watsco Inc stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $384.99 and $386.70. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, June 30, 2026, and so far it has fallen -10.76%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Watsco Inc stock
Watsco Inc finds support from accumulated volume at $368.36 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $19.03 between high and low, or 5.17%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.38%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (WSO) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 20th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 20th we expect Watsco Inc to open at $375.72, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $365.66 and $378.16, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$12.50 (+/-3.42%) up or down from last closing price. If Watsco Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.42% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $368.36 (0.95%) than the resistance at $386.11 (3.82%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Watsco Inc stock A Buy?
Watsco Inc holds several negative signals and is within a wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
Current score:
-4.508
Sell Candidate
Unchanged
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on July 20, 2026 - $375.72 ( 1.02%).
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WSO Performance
Trading levels for WSO
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 394.75 | 6.14% |
| R2 | 387.48 | 4.19% |
| R1 | 382.99 | 2.98% |
| Price | 371.91 | |
| S1 | 368.45 | -0.93% |
| S2 | 363.96 | -2.14% |
| S3 | 356.69 | -4.09% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 456.86 | 22.84% |
| R2 | 438.23 | 17.83% |
| R1 | 386.11 | 3.82% |
| Price | 371.91 | |
| S1 | 368.36 | -0.95% |
| S2 | 365.42 | -1.75% |
| S3 | 359.47 | -3.34% |
WSO Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jul 01, 2026 | Jul 16, 2026 | Jul 31, 2026 | $3.30 | 0.83% |
| 2 | Apr 01, 2026 | Apr 16, 2026 | Apr 30, 2026 | $3.30 | 0.89% |
| 3 | Jan 16, 2026 | Jan 16, 2026 | Jan 30, 2026 | $3.00 | 0.85% |
| 4 | Oct 01, 2025 | Oct 16, 2025 | Oct 31, 2025 | $3.00 | 0.723% |
| 5 | Jul 01, 2025 | Jul 16, 2025 | Jul 31, 2025 | $3.00 | 0.634% |
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