The Industrial Select Sector Spdr Fund ETF Forecast

Buy candidate since Jun 11, 2026 Gain 5.00%

The THE INDUSTRIAL SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND ETF price gained 0.300% on the last trading day (Thursday, 2nd Jul 2026), rising from $183.36 to $183.91. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.96% from a day low at $181.91 to a day high of $185.48. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 2.4% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -2 million shares and in total, 7 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $1.20 billion. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.

The ETF lies in the upper part of a weak rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break-up at the top trend line at $185.61 will firstly indicate a stronger rate of rising. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 6.62% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $183.86 and $197.90 at the end of this 3-month period.

XLI Signals & Forecast

The THE INDUSTRIAL SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND ETF holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $182.97 and $176.24. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The ETF should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, June 30, 2026, and so far it has fallen -0.713%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for THE INDUSTRIAL SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND ETF

On the downside, the ETF finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $174.30 and $174.07. There is a natural risk involved when a ETF is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the ETF then may fall to the next support level. In this case, THE INDUSTRIAL SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND finds support just below today's level at $174.30. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $174.07 and $170.98.

This ETF is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the ETF moved $3.57 (1.96%) between high and low. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.48%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $177.63 (-3.42%) (This ETF has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 2 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (XLI) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 6th

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 6th we expect THE INDUSTRIAL SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND to open at $183.77, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $182.29 and $185.53, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$3.25 (+/-1.78%) up or down from last closing price. If THE INDUSTRIAL SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.78% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $184.12 (0.11%) than the support at $174.30 (5.23%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is THE INDUSTRIAL SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND ETF A Buy?

Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for THE INDUSTRIAL SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND ETF to perform well in the short-term.

Current score: 1.064 Buy Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on July 6, 2026 - $183.77 ( 0.0779%).

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