THE INDUSTRIAL SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND ETF Forecast
THE INDUSTRIAL SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND ETF upgraded from Sell Candidate to Hold/Accumulate after Tuesday trading session.
(Updated on Jul 02, 2024)
The THE INDUSTRIAL SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND ETF price gained 0.547% on the last trading day (Tuesday, 2nd Jul 2024), rising from $120.56 to $121.22. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.81% from a day low at $120.29 to a day high of $121.26. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still down by -1.04% for this period. Volume fell on the last day by -3 million shares and in total, 7 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $802.49 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The ETF is moving within a narrow and horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect THE INDUSTRIAL SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $117.93 and $123.76 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETFS seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETFS turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
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XLI Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Monday, July 01, 2024, and so far it has risen 0.547%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The ETF should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The THE INDUSTRIAL SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $121.75 and $123.07. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals.
A buy signal from a double bottom formation was found on Monday, July 01, 2024 and based on theory for this formation the price should go up by 5.90% to $128.38 within 49 trading days since signal was issued (Tuesday, September 10, 2024).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for THE INDUSTRIAL SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND ETF
THE INDUSTRIAL SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND finds support from accumulated volume at $121.20 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.97 between high and low, or 0.81%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.06%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $114.62 (-5.45%) (This ETF has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 32 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (XLI) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 3rd
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 3rd we expect THE INDUSTRIAL SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND to open at $120.92, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $119.76 and $122.68, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.46 (+/-1.20%) up or down from last closing price. If THE INDUSTRIAL SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.41% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $121.20 (0.02%) than the resistance at $122.00 (0.64%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is THE INDUSTRIAL SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND ETF A Buy?
THE INDUSTRIAL SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: -0.926 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for THE INDUSTRIAL SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND of Wednesday, July 3, 2024
| Fair opening price July 3, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $120.92 ( 0.245%) | $121.22 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for XLI
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 121.89 | 0.555% |
| R2 | 121.52 | 0.250% |
| R1 | 121.29 | 0.0609% |
| Price | 121.22 | |
| S1 | 120.55 | -0.550% |
| S2 | 120.32 | -0.739% |
| S3 | 119.95 | -1.04% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 125.67 | 3.67% |
| R2 | 123.07 | 1.53% |
| R1 | 122.00 | 0.643% |
| Price | 121.22 | |
| S1 | 121.20 | -0.0165% |
| S2 | 121.15 | -0.0577% |
| S3 | 121.11 | -0.0907% |
XLI Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mar 18, 2024 | Mar 18, 2024 | Mar 21, 2024 | $0.376 | 0.299% |
| 2 | Dec 18, 2023 | Dec 18, 2023 | Dec 18, 2023 | $0.615 | 0.547% |
| 3 | Jan 13, 2023 | Sep 18, 2023 | Sep 21, 2023 | $0.426 | 0.417% |
| 4 | Jan 13, 2023 | Jun 20, 2023 | Jun 23, 2023 | $0.420 | 0.407% |
| 5 | Jan 13, 2023 | Mar 20, 2023 | Mar 23, 2023 | $0.395 | 0.409% |
FAQ
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