The Consumer Staples Select Sector Spdr Fund ETF Forecast

Buy candidate since Jul 24, 2026 Gain 3.84%

The THE CONSUMER STAPLES SELECT SECTOR SPDR ETF price gained 0.356% on the last trading day (Wednesday, 29th Jul 2026), rising from $87.05 to $87.36. It has now gained 4 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.78% from a day low at $86.34 to a day high of $87.88. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 4.66% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -8 million shares and in total, 14 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $1.24 billion. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.

The ETF has broken the horizontal trend up. Breaks like this are often followed by swift and strong movements, and any correction down to the breakline at approximately. $86.57 is considered to be a "second chance" to hit a potential runner. It is, however, important that volume does follow the price as false breaks may appear and it may move back into the horizontal trend. Based on the rectangle-formation theory the ETF is predicted to reach $90.92 sometime during the next 3 months.

XLP Signals & Forecast

Mostly positive signals in the chart today. The THE CONSUMER STAPLES SELECT SECTOR SPDR ETF holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $85.08 and $84.48. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday, July 23, 2026, and so far it has risen 4.99%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The ETF should be watched closely. The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Monday, July 06, 2026 for the short-term and also have Golden Star Signal for the medium-term dated Monday, July 06, 2026.

Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for THE CONSUMER STAPLES SELECT SECTOR SPDR ETF

THE CONSUMER STAPLES SELECT SECTOR SPDR finds support from accumulated volume at $84.44 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $1.54 between high and low, or 1.78%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.59%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $84.25 (-3.56%) (This ETF has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 4 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (XLP) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 30th

For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 30th we expect THE CONSUMER STAPLES SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND to open at $87.19, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $86.60 and $88.12, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.51 (+/-1.75%) up or down from last closing price. If THE CONSUMER STAPLES SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.75% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

With no resistance above and support from accumulated volume @ $84.44, some $2.92 (3.34%) from the current price of $87.36, our system finds the risk reward attractive.

Is THE CONSUMER STAPLES SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND ETF A Buy?

THE CONSUMER STAPLES SELECT SECTOR SPDR holds several positive signals and has broken the horizontal trend up. As the ETF is in great technical shape we, therefore, consider it to be a good choice at these current levels and we are expecting further gains during the next 3 months. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Strong Buy candidate.

Current score: 5.330 Strong Buy Candidate Upgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on July 30, 2026 - $87.19 ( 0.193%).

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