The Consumer Staples Select Sector Spdr Fund ETF Forecast

Hold candidate since Jun 18, 2026

The THE CONSUMER STAPLES SELECT SECTOR SPDR ETF price fell by -0.502% on the last day (Thursday, 18th Jun 2026) from $83.68 to $83.26. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.92% from a day low at $83.13 to a day high of $83.89. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 1.49% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the ETF, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the ETF. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -8 million shares and in total, 10 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $868.25 million.

The ETF lies in the lower part of a weak rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $82.47 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 4.03% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $85.80 and $90.73 at the end of this 3-month period.

XLP Signals & Forecast

Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The THE CONSUMER STAPLES SELECT SECTOR SPDR ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the ETF. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $84.94 and $84.18. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, June 12, 2026, and so far it has fallen -2.98%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements. The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Thursday, January 08, 2026 in the long-term chart.

Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for THE CONSUMER STAPLES SELECT SECTOR SPDR ETF

THE CONSUMER STAPLES SELECT SECTOR SPDR finds support from accumulated volume at $81.89 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.765 between high and low, or 0.92%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.29%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $79.17 (-4.91%) (This ETF has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 4 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (XLP) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 22nd

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 22nd we expect THE CONSUMER STAPLES SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND to open at $83.43, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $82.65 and $83.87, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.23 (+/-1.48%) up or down from last closing price. If THE CONSUMER STAPLES SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.48% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $83.44 (0.22%) than the support at $81.89 (1.65%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is THE CONSUMER STAPLES SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND ETF A Buy?

THE CONSUMER STAPLES SELECT SECTOR SPDR holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold candidate.

Current score: -0.548 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on June 22, 2026 - $83.43 ( 0.198%).

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