The Consumer Staples Select Sector Spdr Fund ETF Forecast

Buy candidate since Jul 07, 2026 Loss -0.54%

The THE CONSUMER STAPLES SELECT SECTOR SPDR ETF price fell by -0.542% on the last day (Wednesday, 8th Jul 2026) from $84.85 to $84.39. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.11% from a day low at $84.36 to a day high of $85.30. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 0.8% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the ETF, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the ETF. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -3 million shares and in total, 10 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $875.86 million.

The ETF lies in the middle of a weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 2.20% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $84.33 and $89.02 at the end of this 3-month period.

XLP Signals & Forecast

The THE CONSUMER STAPLES SELECT SECTOR SPDR ETF holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $84.15 and $84.11. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, July 02, 2026, and so far it has fallen -0.706%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements. The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Monday, July 06, 2026 for the short-term and also have Golden Star Signal for the medium-term dated Monday, July 06, 2026.

Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for THE CONSUMER STAPLES SELECT SECTOR SPDR ETF

THE CONSUMER STAPLES SELECT SECTOR SPDR finds support from accumulated volume at $84.10 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.94 between high and low, or 1.11%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.47%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $80.73 (-4.34%) (This ETF has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 3 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (XLP) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 9th

For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 9th we expect THE CONSUMER STAPLES SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND to open at $84.68, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $83.75 and $85.03, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.29 (+/-1.54%) up or down from last closing price. If THE CONSUMER STAPLES SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.54% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $84.44 (0.06%) than the support at $84.10 (0.34%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is THE CONSUMER STAPLES SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND ETF A Buy?

Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for THE CONSUMER STAPLES SELECT SECTOR SPDR ETF to perform well in the short-term.

Current score: 1.547 Buy Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on July 9, 2026 - $84.68 ( 0.346%).

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