Spdr(r) S&p(r) Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Etf ETF Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Nov 03, 2025 Gain 2.96%

The SPDR(R) S&P(R) OIL & GAS EXPLORATION & ETF price fell by -1.92% on the last day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025) from $134.01 to $131.44. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 2.84% from a day low at $130.69 to a day high of $134.40. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 2.96% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 430 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 3 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $400.99 million.

The ETF is moving within a wide and horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect SPDR(R) S&P(R) OIL & GAS EXPLORATION & ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $121.75 and $135.30 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETF seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETF turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.

XOP Signals & Forecast

The SPDR(R) S&P(R) OIL & GAS EXPLORATION & ETF holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the ETF giving a positive forecast for the ETF. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $132.07. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $128.86. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, November 11, 2025, and so far it has fallen -2.01%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the ETF should be followed more closely.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for SPDR(R) S&P(R) OIL & GAS EXPLORATION & ETF

SPDR(R) S&P(R) OIL & GAS EXPLORATION & finds support from accumulated volume at $129.64 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This ETF is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the ETF moved $3.71 (2.84%) between high and low. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 2.48%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $127.00 (-3.38%) (This ETF has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 4 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (XOP) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect SPDR(R) S&P(R) OIL & GAS EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION ETF to open at $132.18, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $129.84 and $133.04, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$3.20 (+/-2.46%) up or down from last closing price. If SPDR(R) S&P(R) OIL & GAS EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.46% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $132.20 (0.58%) than the support at $129.64 (1.37%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is SPDR(R) S&P(R) OIL & GAS EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION ETF ETF A Buy?

SPDR(R) S&P(R) OIL & GAS EXPLORATION & holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.

Current score: -0.092 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - $132.18 ( 0.560%).

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