Chunghwa Telecom Co Ltd Stock Forecast
Evaluation of Chunghwa Telecom Co Ltd stock downgraded after the last trading session.
(Updated on Apr 25, 2024)
The Chunghwa Telecom Co Ltd stock price fell by -0.97% on the last day (Thursday, 25th Apr 2024) from $38.24 to $37.87. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 0.408% from a day low at $37.82 to a day high of $37.97. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -2.92% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -47 thousand shares and in total, 55 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $2.09 million.
The stock is at the lower part of a narrow and horizontal trend in the short term, and normally this may pose a good buying opportunity, though a breakdown through the bottom trend line at $37.82 will give a strong sell signal and a trend shift may be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Chunghwa Telecom Co Ltd stock with a 90% probability to be traded between $38.06 and $39.89 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stocks seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Stocks turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
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CHT Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Chunghwa Telecom Co Ltd stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $38.18 and $38.64. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, April 23, 2024, and so far it has fallen -1.87%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
A sell signal from a double top formation was found on Wednesday, February 21, 2024 with a target of $38.60. Despite whether the objective of the signal formation has been reached the stock may continue to fall.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Chunghwa Telecom Co Ltd stock
Chunghwa Telecom Co Ltd finds support from accumulated volume at $37.86 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $0.154 between high and low, or 0.408%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 0.87%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (CHT) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 26th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 26th we expect Chunghwa Telecom Co Ltd to open at $37.89, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $37.48 and $38.26, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.392 (+/-1.03%) up or down from last closing price. If Chunghwa Telecom Co Ltd takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.07% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $37.86 (0.03%) than the resistance at $38.17 (0.79%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Earnings coming up
Chunghwa Telecom Co Ltd will release earnings BMO on Thursday, May 02, 2024. We will update the financials statements for Chunghwa Telecom Co Ltd, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 1.58% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is Chunghwa Telecom Co Ltd stock A Buy?
Chunghwa Telecom Co Ltd holds several negative signals and is within a narrow and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -1.110 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Chunghwa Telecom Co Ltd of Friday, April 26, 2024
| Fair opening price April 26, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $37.89 ( 0.0478%) | $37.87 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for CHT
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 38.04 | 0.455 % | |
| R2 | 37.98 | 0.300 % | ||
| R1 | 37.95 | 0.203 % | ||
| Current price: | 37.87 | |||
| Support | S1 | 37.83 | -0.108 % | |
| S2 | 37.79 | -0.204 % | ||
| S3 | 37.73 | -0.360 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 38.50 | 1.66 % | |
| R2 | 38.24 | 0.98 % | ||
| R1 | 38.17 | 0.792 % | ||
| Current price | 37.87 | |||
| Support | S1 | 37.86 | -0.0264% | |
| S2 | 37.79 | -0.211% | ||
| S3 | 37.58 | -0.766% |
CHT Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jun 02, 2023 | Jun 28, 2023 | Aug 14, 2023 | $1.53 | 4.16% |
| 2 | Jun 01, 2022 | Jun 29, 2022 | Aug 12, 2022 | $1.59 | 3.84% |
| 3 | Aug 09, 2021 | Aug 24, 2021 | Oct 05, 2021 | $1.55 | 3.92% |
| 4 | Jun 09, 2020 | Jul 01, 2020 | Aug 13, 2020 | $1.42 | 3.84% |
| 5 | Jul 24, 2019 | Jul 24, 2019 | Sep 05, 2019 | $1.44 | 4.14% |
FAQ
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