Chunghwa Telecom Stock Forecast

Hold candidate since Jul 02, 2026

The Chunghwa Telecom Co Ltd stock price fell by -0.0454% on the last day (Thursday, 2nd Jul 2026) from $44.02 to $44.00. It has now fallen 4 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.16% from a day low at $43.72 to a day high of $44.23. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days and is down by -3.34% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -32 thousand shares and in total, 118 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $5.20 million.

Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 6.67% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $46.93 and $49.92 at the end of this 3-month period.

CHT Signals & Forecast

There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Chunghwa Telecom Co Ltd stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $44.43 and $44.62. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, June 16, 2026, and so far it has fallen -4.91%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Chunghwa Telecom Co Ltd stock

Chunghwa Telecom Co Ltd finds support from accumulated volume at $43.50 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $0.507 between high and low, or 1.16%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.07%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $41.64 (-5.36%) (This stock has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 11 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (CHT) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 6th

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 6th we expect Chunghwa Telecom Co Ltd to open at $43.98, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $43.69 and $44.31, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.629 (+/-1.44%) up or down from last closing price. If Chunghwa Telecom Co Ltd takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.44% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $44.02 (0.05%) than the support at $43.50 (1.14%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Dividend Warning For CHT

Dividend warning for CHT: Ex-dividend date is approaching in 5 days on Thursday 9th July, 2026. The dividend to be paid is $1.29, which is a large dividend (2.93%). The stock is expected to open approximately 2.93% lower on the ex-dividend date.

Is Chunghwa Telecom Co Ltd stock A Buy?

Chunghwa Telecom Co Ltd holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold candidate.

Current score: -0.940 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on July 6, 2026 - $43.98 ( 0.0358%).

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