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Evaluation of VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF downgraded after the last trading session
(Updated on Jul 06, 2026)
The VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF price gained 0.395% on the last trading day (Monday, 6th Jul 2026), rising from $78.43 to $78.74. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 3.43% from a day low at $77.52 to a day high of $80.18. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -4.62% for this period. Volume fell on the last day by -16 million shares and in total, 14 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $1.09 billion. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The ETF lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to fall -21.54% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $53.19 and $65.65 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the ETF price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
GDX Signals & Forecast
There are mixed signals in the ETF today. The VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the ETF giving a more negative forecast for the ETF. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $82.35. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the short-term average at $76.58. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, June 10, 2026, and so far it has risen 6.68%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The ETF should be watched closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF
VanEck Vectors Gold Miners finds support from accumulated volume at $78.43 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This ETF has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the ETF moved $2.66 between high and low, or 3.43%. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 3.20%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (GDX) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 7th
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 7th we expect VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF to open at $78.81, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $76.98 and $80.50, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$3.51 (+/-4.56%) up or down from last closing price. If VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.56% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $78.84 (0.13%) than the support at $78.43 (0.39%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF ETF A Buy?
VanEck Vectors Gold Miners holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this ETF. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Sell candidate.
Current score:
-2.190
Sell Candidate
Downgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on July 7, 2026 - $78.81 ( 0.0931%).
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GDX Performance
Trading levels for GDX
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 81.47 | 3.47% |
| R2 | 80.46 | 2.18% |
| R1 | 79.83 | 1.38% |
| Price | 78.74 | |
| S1 | 77.80 | -1.20% |
| S2 | 77.17 | -1.99% |
| S3 | 76.15 | -3.29% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 87.35 | 10.93% |
| R2 | 84.36 | 7.14% |
| R1 | 78.84 | 0.127% |
| Price | 78.74 | |
| S1 | 78.43 | -0.394% |
| S2 | 77.70 | -1.32% |
| S3 | 75.67 | -3.90% |
GDX Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dec 22, 2025 | Dec 22, 2025 | Dec 26, 2025 | $0.633 | 0.702% |
| 2 | Dec 23, 2024 | Dec 23, 2024 | Dec 24, 2024 | $0.403 | 1.17% |
| 3 | Dec 18, 2023 | Dec 18, 2023 | Dec 18, 2023 | $0.500 | 1.63% |
| 4 | Dec 16, 2022 | Dec 19, 2022 | Dec 23, 2022 | $0.476 | 1.65% |
| 5 | Dec 17, 2021 | Dec 20, 2021 | Dec 27, 2021 | $0.535 | 1.71% |
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