Oaktree Specialty Lending Corp Stock Forecast
Weaker technical forecast for Oaktree Specialty Lending Corp as stock downgraded to Hold/Accumulate.
(Updated on Apr 22, 2024)
The Oaktree Specialty Lending Corp stock price fell by -0.709% on the last day (Monday, 22nd Apr 2024) from $19.74 to $19.60. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.15% from a day low at $19.56 to a day high of $19.78. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 0.41% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -17 thousand shares and in total, 488 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $9.57 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -6.97% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $17.16 and $18.70 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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OCSL Signals & Forecast
The Oaktree Specialty Lending Corp stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock, but the stock has a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $19.43 and $19.45. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Monday, March 18, 2024, and so far it has risen 3.00%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements. The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Wednesday, April 17, 2024 in the short-term chart.
Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.
Golden Star
The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Wednesday, April 17, 2024 in the short-term chart.Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Oaktree Specialty Lending Corp stock
Oaktree Specialty Lending Corp finds support from accumulated volume at $19.52 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $0.225 between high and low, or 1.15%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 0.95%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $18.49 (-5.68%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 24 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (OCSL) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 23rd
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 23rd we expect Oaktree Specialty Lending Corp to open at $19.64, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $19.38 and $19.82, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.223 (+/-1.14%) up or down from last closing price. If Oaktree Specialty Lending Corp takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.28% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $19.52 (0.41%) than the resistance at $19.71 (0.56%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Earnings coming up
Oaktree Specialty Lending Corp will release earnings BMO on Tuesday, April 30, 2024.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is $0.570. We will update the financials statements for Oaktree Specialty Lending Corp, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 3.52% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is Oaktree Specialty Lending Corp stock A Buy?
Oaktree Specialty Lending Corp holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.079 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Oaktree Specialty Lending Corp of Tuesday, April 23, 2024
Fair opening price April 23, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$19.64 ( 0.229%) | $19.60 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for OCSL
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 19.87 | 1.38 % | |
R2 | 19.78 | 0.94 % | ||
R1 | 19.73 | 0.667 % | ||
Current price: | 19.60 | |||
Support | S1 | 19.56 | -0.209 % | |
S2 | 19.51 | -0.480 % | ||
S3 | 19.42 | -0.92 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 19.93 | 1.68 % | |
R2 | 19.73 | 0.663 % | ||
R1 | 19.71 | 0.561 % | ||
Current price | 19.60 | |||
Support | S1 | 19.52 | -0.408% | |
S2 | 19.49 | -0.561% | ||
S3 | 19.48 | -0.612% |
OCSL Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Mar 14, 2024 | Mar 14, 2024 | Mar 29, 2024 | $0.550 | 2.80% |
2 | Nov 14, 2023 | Dec 14, 2023 | Dec 29, 2023 | $0.620 | 3.04% |
3 | Aug 03, 2023 | Sep 14, 2023 | Sep 29, 2023 | $0.550 | 2.73% |
4 | May 04, 2023 | Jun 14, 2023 | Sep 29, 2023 | $0.550 | 2.73% |
5 | Feb 07, 2023 | Mar 14, 2023 | Mar 31, 2023 | $0.550 | 2.93% |
FAQ
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