First Trust NASDAQ-100 Ex-Technology ETF Forecast
First Trust NASDAQ-100 Ex-Technology ETF price ended at $86.96 on Thursday, after losing 0.362%.
(Updated on Apr 25, 2024)
The First Trust NASDAQ-100 Ex-Technology ETF price fell by -0.362% on the last day (Thursday, 25th Apr 2024) from $87.28 to $86.96. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.798% from a day low at $86.55 to a day high of $87.24. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -1.93% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 4 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 4 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $385.58 thousand.
The ETF is moving within a horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect First Trust NASDAQ-100 Ex-Technology ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $84.34 and $89.61 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETFS seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETFS turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
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QQXT Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The First Trust NASDAQ-100 Ex-Technology ETF holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the ETF giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $88.76. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the short-term average at $86.29. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, April 24, 2024, and so far it has fallen -0.362%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). First Trust NASDAQ-100 Ex-Technology gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs".
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for First Trust NASDAQ-100 Ex-Technology ETF
First Trust NASDAQ-100 Ex-Technology finds support from accumulated volume at $86.39 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This ETF is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.691 (0.798%) between high and low. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.414%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (QQXT) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 26th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 26th we expect First Trust NASDAQ-100 Ex-Technology Sector Index Fund to open at $86.92, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $86.20 and $87.72, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.760 (+/-0.87%) up or down from last closing price. If First Trust NASDAQ-100 Ex-Technology Sector Index Fund takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.75% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $86.39 (0.66%) than the resistance at $87.63 (0.77%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is First Trust NASDAQ-100 Ex-Technology Sector Index Fund ETF A Buy?
First Trust NASDAQ-100 Ex-Technology holds several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this ETF.
Current score: -3.027 Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for First Trust NASDAQ-100 Ex-Technology Sector Index Fund of Friday, April 26, 2024
Fair opening price April 26, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$86.92 ( 0.0506%) | $86.96 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for QQXT
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 87.61 | 0.744 % | |
R2 | 87.34 | 0.440 % | ||
R1 | 87.18 | 0.253 % | ||
Current price: | 86.96 | |||
Support | S1 | 86.65 | -0.354 % | |
S2 | 86.49 | -0.541 % | ||
S3 | 86.23 | -0.84 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 90.81 | 4.43 % | |
R2 | 88.43 | 1.68 % | ||
R1 | 87.63 | 0.767 % | ||
Current price | 86.96 | |||
Support | S1 | 86.39 | -0.660% | |
S2 | 85.53 | -1.65% | ||
S3 | 85.47 | -1.72% |
QQXT Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Mar 21, 2024 | Mar 21, 2024 | Mar 28, 2024 | $0.289 | 0.317% |
2 | Dec 22, 2023 | Dec 22, 2023 | Dec 29, 2023 | $0.405 | 0.459% |
3 | Sep 21, 2023 | Sep 22, 2023 | Sep 29, 2023 | $0.187 | 0.230% |
4 | Jun 26, 2023 | Jun 27, 2023 | Jun 30, 2023 | $0.159 | 0.189% |
5 | Mar 23, 2023 | Mar 24, 2023 | Mar 31, 2023 | $0.217 | 0.263% |
FAQ
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