First Trust Nasdaq-100 Ex-technology Sector Index Fund ETF Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Jul 24, 2026 Gain 1.95%

The First Trust NASDAQ-100 Ex-Technology ETF price gained 0.339% on the last trading day (Friday, 31st Jul 2026), rising from $99.76 to $100.10. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.93% from a day low at $99.23 to a day high of $100.15. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still up by 1.13% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -3 thousand shares and in total, 2 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $237.34 thousand. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.

The ETF is moving within a narrow and horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect First Trust NASDAQ-100 Ex-Technology ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $99.24 and $103.04 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETFS seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETFS turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.

QQXT Signals & Forecast

There are mixed signals in the ETF today. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, July 28, 2026, and so far it has fallen -0.89%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day while the price increased. This causes a divergence and may be considered as an early warning, but it may also not. The First Trust NASDAQ-100 Ex-Technology ETF holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $99.54 and $98.60. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Tuesday, June 09, 2026 for the short-term and also have Golden Star Signal for the medium-term dated Friday, July 24, 2026.

Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for First Trust NASDAQ-100 Ex-Technology ETF

First Trust NASDAQ-100 Ex-Technology finds support from accumulated volume at $98.61 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered very low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the ETF During the last day, the ETF moved $0.92 between high and low, or 0.93%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.11%

Our recommended stop-loss: $96.38 (-3.72%) (This ETF has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 3 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (QQXT) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 3rd

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 3rd we expect First Trust NASDAQ-100 Ex-Technology Sector Index Fund to open at $99.83, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $99.54 and $100.67, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.13 (+/-1.14%) up or down from last closing price. If First Trust NASDAQ-100 Ex-Technology Sector Index Fund takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.14% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $100.33 (0.23%) than the support at $98.61 (1.49%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is First Trust NASDAQ-100 Ex-Technology Sector Index Fund ETF A Buy?

Several short-term signals are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity, as there is a fair chance for First Trust NASDAQ-100 Ex-Technology ETF to perform well in the short-term period. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Buy candidate.

Current score: 2.121 Buy Candidate Upgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on August 3, 2026 - $99.83 ( 0.274%).

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