First Trust Nasdaq-100 Ex-technology Sector Index Fund ETF Forecast

Hold candidate since Jul 01, 2026 Gain 0.66%

The First Trust NASDAQ-100 Ex-Technology ETF price gained 0.325% on the last trading day (Friday, 10th Jul 2026), rising from $98.82 to $99.14. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.541% from a day low at $98.88 to a day high of $99.42. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 2.44% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -3 thousand shares and in total, 5 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $511.26 thousand. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.

The ETFis at the upper part of a narrow and horizontal trend and normally this may pose a good selling opportunity but a break-up through the top trend line at $99.87 will give a strong buy signal and a trend shift could be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect First Trust NASDAQ-100 Ex-Technology ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $94.75 and $98.74 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETFS seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETFS turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners. Do note, that if the ETF price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.

QQXT Signals & Forecast

The First Trust NASDAQ-100 Ex-Technology ETF holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the ETF giving a positive forecast for the ETF. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $99.24. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $98.14. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, July 02, 2026, and so far it has fallen -0.82%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell during the last trading day while the price increased. This causes a divergence and may be considered as an early warning, but it may also not. The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Tuesday, June 09, 2026 for the short-term and also have Golden Star Signal for the medium-term dated Friday, October 17, 2025.

Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for First Trust NASDAQ-100 Ex-Technology ETF

First Trust NASDAQ-100 Ex-Technology finds support from accumulated volume at $98.44 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered very low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the ETF During the last day, the ETF moved $0.535 between high and low, or 0.541%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.81%

Our recommended stop-loss: $95.70 (-3.47%) (This ETF has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 5 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (QQXT) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 13th

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 13th we expect First Trust NASDAQ-100 Ex-Technology Sector Index Fund to open at $99.14, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $98.69 and $99.58, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.89 (+/-0.90%) up or down from last closing price. If First Trust NASDAQ-100 Ex-Technology Sector Index Fund takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.90% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $99.32 (0.19%) than the support at $98.44 (0.70%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is First Trust NASDAQ-100 Ex-Technology Sector Index Fund ETF A Buy?

First Trust NASDAQ-100 Ex-Technology holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.

Current score: 0.911 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on July 13, 2026 - $99.14 ( 0.0064%).

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