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Weaker technical forecast for First Trust NASDAQ-100 Ex-Technology as ETF downgraded to Sell Candidate
(Updated on Jun 22, 2026)
The First Trust NASDAQ-100 Ex-Technology ETF price fell by -0.332% on the last day (Monday, 22nd Jun 2026) from $96.82 to $96.49. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.737% from a day low at $96.38 to a day high of $97.09. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -1.29% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the ETF, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the ETF. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -5 thousand shares and in total, 8 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $759.22 thousand.
The ETF is moving within a horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect First Trust NASDAQ-100 Ex-Technology ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $94.89 and $99.65 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETFS seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETFS turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
QQXT Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The First Trust NASDAQ-100 Ex-Technology ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $97.76 and $97.85. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, April 20, 2026, and so far it has fallen -4.07%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell along with the price during the last trading day, which is technical positive. One should, however, note that this ETF may have low liquidity in periods, which increases the general risk.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for First Trust NASDAQ-100 Ex-Technology ETF
First Trust NASDAQ-100 Ex-Technology finds support from accumulated volume at $96.39 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered very low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the ETF During the last day, the ETF moved $0.710 between high and low, or 0.737%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.89%
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (QQXT) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 23rd
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 23rd we expect First Trust NASDAQ-100 Ex-Technology Sector Index Fund to open at $96.65, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $96.08 and $96.91, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.83 (+/-0.86%) up or down from last closing price. If First Trust NASDAQ-100 Ex-Technology Sector Index Fund takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.86% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $96.39 (0.11%) than the resistance at $96.82 (0.33%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is First Trust NASDAQ-100 Ex-Technology Sector Index Fund ETF A Buy?
First Trust NASDAQ-100 Ex-Technology holds several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this ETF. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Sell candidate.
Current score:
-3.752
Sell Candidate
Downgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on June 23, 2026 - $96.65 ( 0.166%).
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QQXT Performance
Trading levels for QQXT
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 97.36 | 0.90% |
| R2 | 97.09 | 0.621% |
| R1 | 96.93 | 0.448% |
| Price | 96.49 | |
| S1 | 96.38 | -0.115% |
| S2 | 96.22 | -0.288% |
| S3 | 95.94 | -0.569% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 98.44 | 2.02% |
| R2 | 97.70 | 1.25% |
| R1 | 96.82 | 0.333% |
| Price | 96.49 | |
| S1 | 96.39 | -0.111% |
| S2 | 95.94 | -0.575% |
| S3 | 0 | - |
QQXT Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mar 26, 2026 | Mar 26, 2026 | Mar 31, 2026 | $0.202 | 0.207% |
| 2 | Dec 11, 2025 | Dec 12, 2025 | Dec 31, 2025 | $0.693 | 0.695% |
| 3 | Sep 25, 2025 | Sep 25, 2025 | Sep 30, 2025 | $0.146 | 0.150% |
| 4 | Jun 25, 2025 | Jun 26, 2025 | Jun 30, 2025 | $0.161 | 0.163% |
| 5 | Mar 26, 2025 | Mar 27, 2025 | Mar 31, 2025 | $0.196 | 0.208% |
FAQ
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