Starbucks Stock Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Jun 24, 2026 Gain 1.53%

The Starbucks stock price fell by -1.00% on the last day (Wednesday, 15th Jul 2026) from $106.17 to $105.11. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.58% from a day low at $104.71 to a day high of $107.41. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 2.86% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -270 thousand shares and in total, 5 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $493.35 million.

The stock is moving within a wide and horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Starbucks stock with a 90% probability to be traded between $96.58 and $109.87 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stocks seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Stocks turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.

SBUX Signals & Forecast

The Starbucks stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $105.50. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $101.37. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, July 13, 2026, and so far it has fallen -2.08%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Starbucks stock

Starbucks finds support from accumulated volume at $104.60 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $2.71 (2.58%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.56%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $100.22 (-4.65%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 2 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (SBUX) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 16th

For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 16th we expect Starbucks Corporation to open at $105.74, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $103.79 and $106.43, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$2.65 (+/-2.55%) up or down from last closing price. If Starbucks Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.55% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $105.33 (0.21%) than the support at $104.60 (0.49%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Dividend Warning For SBUX

Dividend coming up for SBUX: Ex-dividend date (Friday 14th August, 2026) is 28 days away. The dividend is $0.620.

Is Starbucks Corporation stock A Buy?

Several short-term signals are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity, as there is a fair chance for Starbucks stock to perform well in the short-term period.

Current score: 1.555 Buy Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on July 16, 2026 - $105.74 ( 0.601%).

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