STFC - State Auto Financial Corporation

Industry: Property & Casualty Insurance Sector: Financial Exchange: NASDAQ

STFC - State Auto Financial Corporation

Industry: Property & Casualty Insurance Sector: Financial Exchange: NASDAQ
#5760()/7615

Tue 18'th Sep 2018

PERIOD 2018-06-19 - 2018-09-18
CHANGE -0.23%
PRICE $30.81
VOLUME
Buy
TREND
Sell

MV LONG
Sell

MV SHORT
Buy

PIVOT
Sell

MACD
Sell

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State Auto Financial Corporation Stock Analysis

Technical stock analysis for Tue 18'th Sep 2018

Sell candidate since 2018-09-17 Loss -0.23%
Shorts 29.01% ( 2018-08-31 )
Cash n/a
Loans n/a
Beta 0.67
ROA -0.41

State Auto Financial Corporation fell by -0.23% in the last day from $30.88 to $30.81 and has now fallen 4 days in a row. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days and is down by -0.19% for this period. Volume has increased in the last day by 9 205 shares, but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly for the next couple of days. In total, 27 763 shares bought and sold for approximately $855 378.00.

Trend

State Auto Financial Corporation lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -2.18% during the next 3 months and, with 90% probability hold a price between $28.64 and $31.82 at the end of this period.

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Signals

There are few to none technical positive signals at the moment. State Auto Financial Corporation holds a buysignal from the short-term moving average; at the same time, however, a sales signal from the long-term average. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sales signal in the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term moving average at $31.22. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $30.72. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sales signal and strengthen the general signal. A sales signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday September 13, 2018, which indicates further falls until a new bottom pivot has been found. State Auto Financial Corporation gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-off's".

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A sell signal from a double top formation was found on Thursday September 13, 2018 and based on theory for this formation the price should fall by -2.29% to $29.10 within 8 trading days since signal was issued (Tuesday September 25, 2018).

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

RSI14 is 55 and the stock is currently not being overbought or oversold

Access full RSI 14 and RSI 21 lists

Support & Resistance

State Auto Financial Corporation finds support from accumulated volume at $30.38.

Support: $30.38 Price: $30.81 Resistance: $30.94

Risk

This stock is usually traded at good volume, and with minor daily changes the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $2.27 (7.81%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had a daily average volatility of 3.76%.

Our recommended stoploss: We hold a sell evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss set.

Overall risk:

Very Low Low Medium High Very High

Evaluation

State Auto Financial Corporation holds several negative signals and is within a wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock.

Sell Candidate

Click for Top 5 Sell Candidates
STFC $30.81 $-0.07(-0.23%)
STFC is down $0.07 today, but where's it headed in October?
Zacks Investment Research is releasing its prediction for STFC based on the 1-3 month system that more than doubles the S&P 500.

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