Astrana Health Earnings Calls
| Release date | May 07, 2026 |
| EPS estimate | $0.290 |
| EPS actual | $0.740 |
| EPS Surprise | 155.17% |
| Revenue estimate | 949.21M |
| Revenue actual | 965.1M |
| Revenue Surprise | 1.67% |
| Release date | Mar 02, 2026 |
| EPS estimate | $0.150 |
| EPS actual | $0.540 |
| EPS Surprise | 260.00% |
| Revenue estimate | 930.43M |
| Revenue actual | 950.526M |
| Revenue Surprise | 2.16% |
| Release date | Nov 06, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $0.470 |
| EPS actual | $0.0100 |
| EPS Surprise | -97.87% |
| Revenue estimate | 930.468M |
| Revenue actual | 956.048M |
| Revenue Surprise | 2.75% |
| Release date | Aug 07, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $0.360 |
| EPS actual | $0.190 |
| EPS Surprise | -47.22% |
| Revenue estimate | 943.736M |
| Revenue actual | 654.808M |
| Revenue Surprise | -30.62% |
Last 4 Quarters for Astrana Health
Below you can see how ASTH performed 4 days prior and 4 days after releasing the earnings report. Also, you can see the pre-estimates and the actual earnings. This information can give you a slight idea of what you might expect for the next quarter's release.
| Release date | Aug 07, 2025 |
| Price on release | $21.46 |
| EPS estimate | $0.360 |
| EPS actual | $0.190 |
| EPS surprise | -47.22% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Aug 01, 2025 | $21.57 |
| Aug 04, 2025 | $21.88 |
| Aug 05, 2025 | $22.32 |
| Aug 06, 2025 | $21.81 |
| Aug 07, 2025 | $21.46 |
| Aug 08, 2025 | $28.08 |
| Aug 11, 2025 | $28.69 |
| Aug 12, 2025 | $29.10 |
| Aug 13, 2025 | $29.63 |
| 4 days before | -0.510% |
| 4 days after | 38.07% |
| On release day | 30.85% |
| Change in period | 37.37% |
| Release date | Nov 06, 2025 |
| Price on release | $33.36 |
| EPS estimate | $0.470 |
| EPS actual | $0.0100 |
| EPS surprise | -97.87% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2025 | $31.21 |
| Nov 03, 2025 | $32.99 |
| Nov 04, 2025 | $33.10 |
| Nov 05, 2025 | $33.24 |
| Nov 06, 2025 | $33.36 |
| Nov 07, 2025 | $25.54 |
| Nov 10, 2025 | $22.43 |
| Nov 11, 2025 | $23.80 |
| Nov 12, 2025 | $23.56 |
| 4 days before | 6.89% |
| 4 days after | -29.38% |
| On release day | -23.46% |
| Change in period | -24.51% |
| Release date | Mar 02, 2026 |
| Price on release | $26.32 |
| EPS estimate | $0.150 |
| EPS actual | $0.540 |
| EPS surprise | 260.00% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2026 | $19.22 |
| Feb 25, 2026 | $19.95 |
| Feb 26, 2026 | $20.91 |
| Feb 27, 2026 | $20.33 |
| Mar 02, 2026 | $26.32 |
| Mar 03, 2026 | $24.51 |
| Mar 04, 2026 | $25.59 |
| Mar 05, 2026 | $25.07 |
| Mar 06, 2026 | $24.91 |
| 4 days before | 36.94% |
| 4 days after | -5.36% |
| On release day | -6.88% |
| Change in period | 29.60% |
| Release date | May 07, 2026 |
| Price on release | $36.08 |
| EPS estimate | $0.290 |
| EPS actual | $0.740 |
| EPS surprise | 155.17% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| May 01, 2026 | $34.89 |
| May 04, 2026 | $34.98 |
| May 05, 2026 | $35.19 |
| May 06, 2026 | $35.25 |
| May 07, 2026 | $36.08 |
| May 08, 2026 | $39.30 |
| May 11, 2026 | $37.97 |
| May 12, 2026 | $39.01 |
| May 13, 2026 | $39.76 |
| 4 days before | 3.41% |
| 4 days after | 10.20% |
| On release day | 8.92% |
| Change in period | 13.96% |
Astrana Health Earnings Call Transcript Summary of Q1 2026
Astrana Health reported a strong start to 2026 with Q1 revenue of $965.1M (up 56% YoY), adjusted EBITDA of $66.3M (up 82% YoY), adjusted EPS of $0.74 (up 76% YoY), and free cash flow of ~$64M. Deleveraging progressed faster than expected: pro forma net leverage down to ~2.3x (management expects to finish the year at or below 2.0x). Management reinforced its strategy built around a proprietary, payer-agnostic, AI-enabled operating platform and longitudinal patient data, highlighting measurable operational benefits (e.g., 24% higher gap-closure rate, 30% higher annual wellness visit completion for active users, ~500k automated member interactions/month). Medical cost trend in Q1 was at or slightly better than the company’s blended 2026 trend assumption (~5.2%), with both legacy Astrana and Prospect performing in line or better than plan. Membership totaled ~1.55M in value-based arrangements; ~80% of Care Partners revenue and ~40% of owned membership are now in full-risk contracts. Prospect integration is on track, gross provider retention >99%, and synergies trending toward the high end of the $12M–$15M annual target; Prospect is tracking slightly ahead of the ~$80M annualized EBITDA target. Management reaffirmed 2026 guidance: revenue $3.8B–$4.1B, adjusted EBITDA $250M–$280M, free cash flow $105M–$132.5M, while conservatively assuming some downside (e.g., Medicaid/exchange enrollment headwinds and 0 HQAF contribution). Management sees regulatory developments (MA rate notice / risk-adjustment changes) as structural tailwinds for Astrana’s model. Capital allocation priorities remain deleveraging, organic investment (tech/AI/clinical/market expansion), disciplined M&A, and opportunistic buybacks.
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