Certara Earnings Calls
| Release date | May 11, 2026 |
| EPS estimate | $0.110 |
| EPS actual | $0.0900 |
| EPS Surprise | -18.18% |
| Revenue estimate | 106.13M |
| Revenue actual | 106.915M |
| Revenue Surprise | 0.740% |
| Release date | Feb 26, 2026 |
| EPS estimate | $0.110 |
| EPS actual | $0.0900 |
| EPS Surprise | -18.18% |
| Revenue estimate | 103.074M |
| Revenue actual | 103.6M |
| Revenue Surprise | 0.510% |
| Release date | Nov 06, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $0.110 |
| EPS actual | $0.140 |
| EPS Surprise | 27.27% |
| Revenue estimate | 103.229M |
| Revenue actual | 104.616M |
| Revenue Surprise | 1.34% |
| Release date | Aug 06, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $0.100 |
| EPS actual | $0.0700 |
| EPS Surprise | -30.00% |
| Revenue estimate | 104.082M |
| Revenue actual | 104.57M |
| Revenue Surprise | 0.469% |
Last 4 Quarters for Certara
Below you can see how CERT performed 4 days prior and 4 days after releasing the earnings report. Also, you can see the pre-estimates and the actual earnings. This information can give you a slight idea of what you might expect for the next quarter's release.
| Release date | Aug 06, 2025 |
| Price on release | $9.53 |
| EPS estimate | $0.100 |
| EPS actual | $0.0700 |
| EPS surprise | -30.00% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2025 | $9.84 |
| Aug 01, 2025 | $9.54 |
| Aug 04, 2025 | $9.94 |
| Aug 05, 2025 | $9.86 |
| Aug 06, 2025 | $9.53 |
| Aug 07, 2025 | $11.26 |
| Aug 08, 2025 | $10.94 |
| Aug 11, 2025 | $10.47 |
| Aug 12, 2025 | $10.75 |
| 4 days before | -3.15% |
| 4 days after | 12.80% |
| On release day | 18.15% |
| Change in period | 9.25% |
| Release date | Nov 06, 2025 |
| Price on release | $11.27 |
| EPS estimate | $0.110 |
| EPS actual | $0.140 |
| EPS surprise | 27.27% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2025 | $11.63 |
| Nov 03, 2025 | $11.70 |
| Nov 04, 2025 | $11.55 |
| Nov 05, 2025 | $11.57 |
| Nov 06, 2025 | $11.27 |
| Nov 07, 2025 | $8.67 |
| Nov 10, 2025 | $8.62 |
| Nov 11, 2025 | $8.58 |
| Nov 12, 2025 | $8.28 |
| 4 days before | -3.10% |
| 4 days after | -26.53% |
| On release day | -23.07% |
| Change in period | -28.80% |
| Release date | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Price on release | $6.80 |
| EPS estimate | $0.110 |
| EPS actual | $0.0900 |
| EPS surprise | -18.18% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2026 | $6.46 |
| Feb 23, 2026 | $6.49 |
| Feb 24, 2026 | $6.69 |
| Feb 25, 2026 | $6.59 |
| Feb 26, 2026 | $6.80 |
| Feb 27, 2026 | $7.08 |
| Mar 02, 2026 | $7.05 |
| Mar 03, 2026 | $7.24 |
| Mar 04, 2026 | $7.35 |
| 4 days before | 5.26% |
| 4 days after | 8.09% |
| On release day | 4.12% |
| Change in period | 13.78% |
| Release date | May 11, 2026 |
| Price on release | $5.13 |
| EPS estimate | $0.110 |
| EPS actual | $0.0900 |
| EPS surprise | -18.18% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| May 05, 2026 | $6.18 |
| May 06, 2026 | $6.26 |
| May 07, 2026 | $6.31 |
| May 08, 2026 | $6.31 |
| May 11, 2026 | $5.13 |
| May 12, 2026 | $5.09 |
| May 13, 2026 | $4.79 |
| May 14, 2026 | $4.61 |
| May 15, 2026 | $4.48 |
| 4 days before | -16.99% |
| 4 days after | -12.67% |
| On release day | -0.780% |
| Change in period | -27.51% |
Certara Earnings Call Transcript Summary of Q1 2026
Certara reported Q1 2026 revenue of $106.9M (+1% YoY) with software revenue up 7% to $49.7M and services down 4% to $57.2M. Software bookings strengthened (Q1 software bookings +20% YoY) and software net retention was 106%, driven by Simcyp, Phoenix and Chemaxon. Management completed the divestiture of the regulatory and medical writing business (previously ~ $50M revenue, ~$17M adj. EBITDA in 2025), which they expect will improve revenue predictability and unlock ~150bps of incremental growth in 2027+. Certara reorganized into two customer-facing groups — MID3 (model‑informed drug development + expert services) and ACE (Accelerated Clinical Evidence: data/workflow products like Phoenix and Pinnacle) — and appointed a Chief AI Officer as they invest in an AI‑integrated platform. Strategic partnerships with NVIDIA (accelerated computing/AI) and Altasciences (integrated CRO/CDMO collaboration) were announced to accelerate simulations and clinical workflows. Updated full‑year 2026 guidance (reflecting divestiture) is revenue $395M–$405M (0%–4% ex-divestiture), adjusted EBITDA margin 30%–32%, and adjusted EPS $0.35–$0.41; first half expected to be weighted lower with stronger second‑half growth. Balance sheet: $149.5M cash, $294.8M term loan outstanding, full revolver availability; share repurchases continue ($82.6M repurchased of $100M authorization, $40M in Q1). Management emphasized near‑term execution work to stabilize services performance and product commercialization risks but highlighted strong long‑term opportunity from AI adoption and regulatory tailwinds (ICH M15, FDA NAM guidance, FDA initiative on real‑time trials).
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