Fresnillo Earnings Calls
| Release date | Aug 04, 2026 |
| EPS estimate | $1.52 |
| EPS actual | - |
| Revenue estimate | 3.412B |
| Revenue actual | - |
| Expected change | +/- 2.40% |
| Release date | Mar 03, 2026 |
| EPS estimate | $0.87 |
| EPS actual | $1.50 |
| EPS Surprise | 73.41% |
| Revenue estimate | 2.597B |
| Revenue actual | 2.597B |
| Release date | Aug 05, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $0.715 |
| EPS actual | $0.534 |
| EPS Surprise | -25.31% |
| Revenue estimate | 1.983B |
| Revenue actual | 1.936B |
| Revenue Surprise | -2.36% |
| Release date | May 21, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | - |
| EPS actual | - |
| Revenue estimate | - |
| Revenue actual | - |
Last 4 Quarters for Fresnillo
Below you can see how FNLPF performed 4 days prior and 4 days after releasing the earnings report. Also, you can see the pre-estimates and the actual earnings. This information can give you a slight idea of what you might expect for the next quarter's release.
| Release date | May 21, 2025 |
| Price on release | $14.55 |
| EPS estimate | - |
| EPS actual | - |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| May 15, 2025 | $13.47 |
| May 16, 2025 | $13.28 |
| May 19, 2025 | $14.00 |
| May 20, 2025 | $14.19 |
| May 21, 2025 | $14.55 |
| May 22, 2025 | $14.55 |
| May 23, 2025 | $15.31 |
| May 27, 2025 | $15.31 |
| May 28, 2025 | $15.10 |
| 4 days before | 8.02% |
| 4 days after | 3.78% |
| On release day | 0% |
| Change in period | 12.10% |
| Release date | Aug 05, 2025 |
| Price on release | $20.18 |
| EPS estimate | $0.715 |
| EPS actual | $0.534 |
| EPS surprise | -25.31% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2025 | $18.65 |
| Jul 31, 2025 | $18.38 |
| Aug 01, 2025 | $18.90 |
| Aug 04, 2025 | $19.20 |
| Aug 05, 2025 | $20.18 |
| Aug 06, 2025 | $22.00 |
| Aug 07, 2025 | $22.75 |
| Aug 08, 2025 | $22.90 |
| Aug 11, 2025 | $23.40 |
| 4 days before | 8.20% |
| 4 days after | 15.96% |
| On release day | 9.02% |
| Change in period | 25.47% |
| Release date | Mar 03, 2026 |
| Price on release | $50.85 |
| EPS estimate | $0.87 |
| EPS actual | $1.50 |
| EPS surprise | 73.41% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | $57.94 |
| Feb 26, 2026 | $55.56 |
| Feb 27, 2026 | $57.30 |
| Mar 02, 2026 | $55.88 |
| Mar 03, 2026 | $50.85 |
| Mar 04, 2026 | $51.63 |
| Mar 05, 2026 | $48.37 |
| Mar 06, 2026 | $47.64 |
| Mar 09, 2026 | $47.96 |
| 4 days before | -12.24% |
| 4 days after | -5.68% |
| On release day | 1.52% |
| Change in period | -17.23% |
| Release date | Aug 04, 2026 |
| Price on release | - |
| EPS estimate | $1.52 |
| EPS actual | - |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Jul 07, 2026 | $36.55 |
| Jul 08, 2026 | $35.23 |
| Jul 09, 2026 | $36.61 |
| Jul 10, 2026 | $36.10 |
| Jul 13, 2026 | $34.75 |
Fresnillo Earnings Call Transcript Summary of Q4 2025
Key points for investors: Fresnillo delivered a record financial year in 2025 driven mainly by much higher precious‑metal prices (gold and silver), stable production, and continued cost control. The company returned a record $950 million to shareholders in dividends and closed the Probe Gold acquisition (adds ~10 million oz gold resources), reinforcing the group’s long‑term growth pipeline. Operationally 2025 showed gold slightly above guidance and silver broadly in line, with brownfield mines stabilizing and several district projects (Valles, Noche Buena, Rodeo, Tajitos, Orisyvo, Guanajuato Sur, Novador/Novador – Probe Gold) prioritized in the near‑to‑medium term. Management describes 2026 as a transition year: some silver production headwinds at Fresnillo and short‑term shaft/conveyor works will slightly depress output and raise CapEx timing, but brownfield projects (Valles, Noche Buena) are expected to add low‑capex, high‑return ounces in 2027–28. Resources and reserves were largely replenished (silver reserves +9.4%, gold reserves +7.4%; gold resources +14%) — these figures predate the Probe Gold contribution. Financial highlights: record revenue and margins, >$2bn free cash flow for the period, year‑end cash ~ $2.76bn. Guidance and returns: 2026 CapEx ~$765m (sustaining + project spend) and exploration budget increased to $308m; management retains its disciplined dividend policy (historically >=50% payout) and remains open to opportunistic, value‑accretive M&A. Risks/notes for investors: FX/exchange‑rate volatility significantly affects reported tax expense (deferred tax revaluations) and provisional cash tax payments — management warns of a material cash outflow in March as provisional taxes are settled; treatment & refining charges have trended lower recently (helping revenue), but are uncertain going forward; cost inflation assumption for budgeting ~6% (excluding FX). ESG/operational: safety focus with improved LTIF/TRIF trends but two fatalities in the year were a reminder; 78% renewable energy consumption achieved (above target). Overall, Fresnillo is leveraging a strong price environment and healthy balance sheet to pay shareholders, invest in brownfields, advance greenfields, and pursue selective M&A while cautioning on tax timing and FX-driven cash volatility.
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