Rio Tinto Earnings Calls
| Release date | Feb 19, 2026 |
| EPS estimate | $3.71 |
| EPS actual | $3.73 |
| EPS Surprise | 0.539% |
| Revenue estimate | 30.193B |
| Revenue actual | 30.765B |
| Revenue Surprise | 1.90% |
| Release date | Jul 30, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $3.12 |
| EPS actual | $2.79 |
| EPS Surprise | -10.58% |
| Revenue estimate | 26.294B |
| Revenue actual | 27.104B |
| Revenue Surprise | 3.08% |
| Release date | Jul 28, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | - |
| EPS actual | - |
| Revenue estimate | - |
| Revenue actual | - |
| Release date | Feb 19, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $3.23 |
| EPS actual | $3.51 |
| EPS Surprise | 8.67% |
| Revenue estimate | 27.35B |
| Revenue actual | 26.856B |
| Revenue Surprise | -1.81% |
Last 4 Quarters for Rio Tinto
Below you can see how RIO performed 4 days prior and 4 days after releasing the earnings report. Also, you can see the pre-estimates and the actual earnings. This information can give you a slight idea of what you might expect for the next quarter's release.
| Release date | Feb 19, 2025 |
| Price on release | $62.76 |
| EPS estimate | $3.23 |
| EPS actual | $3.51 |
| EPS surprise | 8.67% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2025 | $62.04 |
| Feb 13, 2025 | $63.29 |
| Feb 14, 2025 | $63.36 |
| Feb 18, 2025 | $64.18 |
| Feb 19, 2025 | $62.76 |
| Feb 20, 2025 | $64.29 |
| Feb 21, 2025 | $63.53 |
| Feb 24, 2025 | $62.74 |
| Feb 25, 2025 | $62.11 |
| 4 days before | 1.16% |
| 4 days after | -1.04% |
| On release day | 2.44% |
| Change in period | 0.113% |
| Release date | Jul 28, 2025 |
| Price on release | $62.19 |
| EPS estimate | - |
| EPS actual | - |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2025 | $64.33 |
| Jul 23, 2025 | $64.62 |
| Jul 24, 2025 | $63.83 |
| Jul 25, 2025 | $63.10 |
| Jul 28, 2025 | $62.19 |
| Jul 29, 2025 | $62.27 |
| Jul 30, 2025 | $59.49 |
| Jul 31, 2025 | $59.77 |
| Aug 01, 2025 | $59.65 |
| 4 days before | -3.33% |
| 4 days after | -4.08% |
| On release day | 0.129% |
| Change in period | -7.27% |
| Release date | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Price on release | $59.49 |
| EPS estimate | $3.12 |
| EPS actual | $2.79 |
| EPS surprise | -10.58% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Jul 24, 2025 | $63.83 |
| Jul 25, 2025 | $63.10 |
| Jul 28, 2025 | $62.19 |
| Jul 29, 2025 | $62.27 |
| Jul 30, 2025 | $59.49 |
| Jul 31, 2025 | $59.77 |
| Aug 01, 2025 | $59.65 |
| Aug 04, 2025 | $60.00 |
| Aug 05, 2025 | $59.70 |
| 4 days before | -6.80% |
| 4 days after | 0.353% |
| On release day | 0.471% |
| Change in period | -6.47% |
| Release date | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Price on release | $96.34 |
| EPS estimate | $3.71 |
| EPS actual | $3.73 |
| EPS surprise | 0.539% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2026 | $97.91 |
| Feb 13, 2026 | $98.07 |
| Feb 17, 2026 | $96.88 |
| Feb 18, 2026 | $98.93 |
| Feb 19, 2026 | $96.34 |
| Feb 20, 2026 | $97.09 |
| Feb 23, 2026 | $97.67 |
| Feb 24, 2026 | $98.11 |
| Feb 25, 2026 | $100.78 |
| 4 days before | -1.60% |
| 4 days after | 4.61% |
| On release day | 0.778% |
| Change in period | 2.93% |
Rio Tinto Earnings Call Transcript Summary of Q4 2025
Key points for investors: • Safety incident at Simandou: a recent fatality prompted a halt to site works, an independent investigation and the formation of an independent safety advisory panel — management emphasizes safety as the top priority. • Strong operational performance: 2025 delivered an industry-leading 8% increase in copper-equivalent production with record annual copper and bauxite output; Pilbara recovered from cyclones and set production records. • Financial results: underlying EBITDA up 9% to $25.4bn; underlying earnings $10.9bn. Company will pay 60% of underlying earnings as dividends (~$6.5bn). • Cost and productivity: announced $650m annualized productivity run-rate to be achieved by end-Q1; management expects materially larger cash improvements through 2026 as programs scale in 2027–28. Copper-equivalent unit costs down ~5% year-on-year. • Growth projects & pipeline: Oyu Tolgoi underground development complete and ramping (target ~500ktpa copper 2028–2036); first Simandou shipment achieved and target of 60 Mtpa iron ore at full ramp-up; lithium in‑flight projects targeting ~200 ktpa capacity by 2028. Exploration budget now 85% focused on copper. • Capital and balance sheet: Net debt $14.4bn (post Arcadium); gearing ~18%; CapEx at high end ~$11bn in 2025 with guidance up to $11bn for next two years then stepping down to ~$10bn thereafter. Company targeting $5–10bn of capital release from the portfolio and is testing markets for RTIT and Borates. • M&A/Glencore: Management held constructive, forensic talks with Glencore but concluded no deal would create sufficient shareholder value; emphasis on disciplined, value-accretive M&A only. • Markets outlook: iron ore demand remains resilient; copper and aluminium benefitted from energy-transition-driven demand; lithium momentum returned earlier than expected though prices are likely to remain volatile. Overall tone: disciplined capital allocation, simultaneous focus on returning cash to shareholders and delivering long‑term growth driven by operational excellence and a copper‑centric growth strategy.
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