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My Thoughts About The Coronavirus

11:16am, Thursday, 05'th Mar 2020
There are three different things going on that are related yet are very different and shouldn't be confused: 1) the virus, 2) the economic impact of reactions t

Fed Moves First To Counter COVID-19 Market Fears

10:10am, Thursday, 05'th Mar 2020
Tuesday morning, the Federal Reserve surprised markets with an emergency interest rate cut of 50 basis points. The Fed's move is likely the first in a series of

Assessing The Unknowns As Coronavirus Spreads

12:19am, Thursday, 05'th Mar 2020
Aggressive measures, including quarantine, have had a significant impact on growth in China. Before the advent of the virus, the global economy was expected to
The situation in China in terms of contagion already appears to be improving, as new infection data is being driven by cases outside of China. In China, we expe

MINT: The Time For Money Markets Is Now

07:03pm, Wednesday, 04'th Mar 2020
With the yield curve flat-to-inverted, short-term bonds offer a much better risk-reward profile than long-term bonds. The negative beta of long-term bonds can b

Central Banks And Coronavirus

04:40pm, Wednesday, 04'th Mar 2020
Yields on safe assets, especially U.S. Treasuries, are crashing as investors dump anything they see as remotely risky. The eurozone economy is in pretty bad sha
The Global Market Index (GMI) is expected to earn an annualized risk premium of 4.5% over the long run in today's revised estimate (before factoring in a risk-f
Eight centuries of new data show a persistent 500-year decline in global real interest rates, challenging existing theories and raising new questions. Implicati

Coronavirus Update: Policymakers Strike Back

10:43pm, Tuesday, 03'rd Mar 2020
Concern over the acceleration of new coronavirus outbreaks outside of China caused global financial markets to sell off aggressively last week. We don't think t
There remains the possibility of a sharper-than-expected contraction in China, and the potential for quarantines and other measures to directly disrupt economic

The Late Cycle: Fiscal Stimulus Ahead?

09:05am, Wednesday, 26'th Feb 2020
It does seem more likely than not that central banks will continue to ease, even if fewer do this year than they have in the past. And if the monetary policy su

Looking For Yield - Meet The Blues Brothers

07:00am, Sunday, 23'rd Feb 2020
Coronavirus is infecting the bond markets. This could take yields down to places that have not been seen in recent memory. Last year the equity markets provided

Where To Get Income In A Low-Yield World

08:50pm, Thursday, 20'th Feb 2020
The 10-year Treasury traded as low as negative 0.14 on January 31. Investors are guaranteed to lose money on it if held until maturity. Low-to-negative rates ma

Full List Of 2019 ETF.com Award Finalists

08:00pm, Thursday, 20'th Feb 2020
Winners will be announced on ETF.com on Tuesday, March 17 at 10:00 a.m. ET.
The coronavirus is helping to keep already-low yields even lower as more investors pile into bonds, thus driving prices up. For fixed income investors, this means looking to other corners of the bond
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