The Swatch Group Ag Stock Forecast

Hold candidate since Aug 06, 2026 Gain 2.08%

The The Swatch Group Ag stock price gained 2.28% on the last trading day (Monday, 10th Aug 2026), rising from 37.35 Fr to 38.20 Fr. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.91% from a day low at 37.90 Fr to a day high of 38.62 Fr. The price has risen in 8 of the last 10 days and is up by 13.44% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 2 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 6 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately 234.74 Fr thousand.

The stock lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -10.50% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between 29.48 Fr and 36.00 Fr at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.

0QM4.L Signals & Forecast

A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Monday, July 27, 2026, and so far it has risen 13.44%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). The Swatch Group Ag has increased volume and follows the last lift in the price. This is considered to be a technical positive sign as volume should follow the price-formation. Higher liquidity also reduces the general risk. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The The Swatch Group Ag stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at 38.30 Fr. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at 37.03 Fr. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for The Swatch Group Ag stock

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at 35.52 Fr and 34.63 Fr. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, The Swatch Group Ag finds support just below today's level at 35.52 Fr. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at 34.63 Fr and 34.20 Fr.

This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved 0.722 Fr between high and low, or 1.91%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.74%.

Our recommended stop-loss: 36.66 Fr (-4.04%) (This stock has high daily movements and this gives high risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 10 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (0QM4.L) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 11th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 11th we expect The Swatch Group Ag to open at 38.24 Fr, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between 37.72 Fr and 38.68 Fr, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-0.97 Fr (+/-2.56%) up or down from last closing price. If The Swatch Group Ag takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.56% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at 39.33 Fr (2.95%) than the support at 35.52 Fr (7.02%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is The Swatch Group Ag stock A Buy?

The Swatch Group Ag holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.

Current score: 0.856 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on August 11, 2026 - 38.24 Fr ( 0.107%).

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