Rakuten Bank Stock Forecast

Sell candidate since May 21, 2026 Loss -6.70%

The Rakuten Bank, Ltd. stock price gained 5.01% on the last trading day (Tuesday, 9th Jun 2026), rising from JP¥4,869.00 to JP¥5,113.00. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 6.54% from a day low at JP¥4,850.00 to a day high of JP¥5,167.00. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still up by 2.34% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 713 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 2 million shares were bought and sold for approximately JP¥11.90 billion.

The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -16.17% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between JP¥3,666.04 and JP¥5,411.41 at the end of this 3-month period.

5838.T Signals & Forecast

A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Monday, June 01, 2026, and so far it has risen 13.67%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Rakuten Bank, Ltd. stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at JP¥5,763.86. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at JP¥4,835.14. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Rakuten Bank, Ltd. stock

Rakuten Bank, Ltd. finds support from accumulated volume at JP¥5,096.00 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock may move very much during the day (volatility) and with a very large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "very high risk". During the last day, the stock moved JP¥317.00 between high and low, or 6.54%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 6.72%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (5838.T) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 10th

For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 10th we expect Rakuten Bank, Ltd. to open at JP¥5,043.33, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between JP¥4,958.81 and JP¥5,267.19, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-JP¥308.38 (+/-6.22%) up or down from last closing price. If Rakuten Bank, Ltd. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 6.22% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at JP¥5,096.00 (0.33%) than the resistance at JP¥5,480.00 (7.18%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is Rakuten Bank, Ltd. stock A Buy?

Rakuten Bank, Ltd. holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock.

Current score: -2.569 Sell Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on June 10, 2026 - JP¥5,043.33 ( 1.36%).

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