Noah Holdings Stock Forecast

Sell candidate since Jul 31, 2026 Gain 8.97%

No changes to the price of Noah Holdings Limited stock on the last trading day (Tuesday, 11th Aug 2026). During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 0% from a day low at HK$14.94 to a day high of HK$14.94. The price has fallen in 5 of the last 10 days and is down by -0.27% for this period.

The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -13.62% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between HK$10.70 and HK$14.94 at the end of this 3-month period.

6686.HK Signals & Forecast

Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Noah Holdings Limited stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at HK$15.65. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at HK$14.12. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, August 10, 2026, and so far it has fallen 0%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell on the last day without any changes to the price. This does not cause any direct divergence but may be an early warning and a possible "turning point". The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Noah Holdings Limited stock

Noah Holdings Limited finds support from accumulated volume at HK$14.50 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered very low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the stock During the last day, the stock moved HK$0 between high and low, or 0%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.35%

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (6686.HK) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 12th

For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 12th we expect Noah Holdings Limited to open at HK$14.94, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between HK$14.69 and HK$15.19, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-HK$0.496 (+/-3.38%) up or down from last closing price. If Noah Holdings Limited takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.38% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at HK$14.50 (2.95%) than the resistance at HK$15.70 (5.09%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is Noah Holdings Limited stock A Buy?

Noah Holdings Limited holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock.

Current score: -2.039 Sell Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on August 12, 2026 - HK$14.94 ( 0%).

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