Tencent Holdings Stock Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Jul 29, 2026 Gain 0.55%

The Tencent Holdings Limited stock price fell by -2.32% on the last day (Tuesday, 11th Aug 2026) from HK$414.60 to HK$405.00. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.03% from a day low at HK$404.40 to a day high of HK$412.60. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 4.76% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -3 thousand shares and in total, 8 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately HK$3.12 million.

The stock lies in the middle of a wide and weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 4.86% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between HK$385.49 and HK$445.09 at the end of this 3-month period.

80700.HK Signals & Forecast

The Tencent Holdings Limited stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately HK$415.40. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately HK$395.13. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, August 05, 2026, and so far it has fallen -4.30%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Tencent Holdings Limited stock

Tencent Holdings Limited finds support from accumulated volume at HK$402.60 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved HK$8.20 between high and low, or 2.03%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.89%.

Our recommended stop-loss: HK$384.36 (-5.10%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 4 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (80700.HK) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 12th

For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 12th we expect Tencent Holdings Limited to open at HK$407.33, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between HK$398.92 and HK$411.08, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-HK$12.17 (+/-3.05%) up or down from last closing price. If Tencent Holdings Limited takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.05% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at HK$402.60 (0.59%) than the resistance at HK$411.80 (1.68%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is Tencent Holdings Limited stock A Buy?

Tencent Holdings Limited holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold candidate.

Current score: 0.768 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on August 12, 2026 - HK$407.33 ( 0.576%).

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