Tianqi Lithium Stock Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Aug 10, 2026 Loss -2.29%

The Tianqi Lithium Corporation stock price fell by -2.29% on the last day (Tuesday, 11th Aug 2026) from HK$36.76 to HK$35.92. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.36% from a day low at HK$35.74 to a day high of HK$36.94. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 11.07% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -2 million shares and in total, 4 million shares were bought and sold for approximately HK$130.84 million.

The stock lies the upper part of a very wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break up at the top trend line at HK$36.36 will firstly indicate a slower falling rate, but may be the first sign of a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -40.74% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between HK$14.48 and HK$21.54 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.

9696.HK Signals & Forecast

The Tianqi Lithium Corporation stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock, but the stock has a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at HK$35.66 and HK$35.88. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Monday, July 20, 2026, and so far it has risen 16.32%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Tianqi Lithium Corporation stock

Tianqi Lithium Corporation finds support from accumulated volume at HK$34.42 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved HK$1.20 between high and low, or 3.36%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.85%.

Our recommended stop-loss: HK$34.33 (-4.41%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 16 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (9696.HK) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 12th

For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 12th we expect Tianqi Lithium Corporation to open at HK$36.20, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between HK$34.96 and HK$36.88, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-HK$1.93 (+/-5.51%) up or down from last closing price. If Tianqi Lithium Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.51% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at HK$36.36 (1.22%) than the support at HK$34.42 (4.18%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is Tianqi Lithium Corporation stock A Buy?

Tianqi Lithium Corporation holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold candidate.

Current score: 0.637 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on August 12, 2026 - HK$36.20 ( 0.780%).

Want to trade but not sure how? Our step-by-step guide can help.
Skip the guide? Open account with our trusted broker*
*Your capital is at risk