Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. Stock Forecast
Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. stock downgraded to Sell Candidate
(Updated on Jun 28, 2024)
The Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. stock price fell by -1.28% on the last day (Friday, 28th Jun 2024) from $18.73 to $18.49. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.79% from a day low at $18.48 to a day high of $18.81. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -1.12% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 6 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 14 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $255.40 thousand.
The stock lies in the lower part of a narrow and weak rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $18.46 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 2.42% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $18.90 and $19.51 at the end of this 3-month period.
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ABR-PD Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $18.58 and $18.50. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, June 12, 2024, and so far it has fallen -1.86%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs".
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. stock
Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. finds support from accumulated volume at $18.13 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $0.330 between high and low, or 1.79%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.32%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (ABR-PD) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 1st
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 1st we expect Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. to open at $18.59, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $18.23 and $18.75, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.258 (+/-1.40%) up or down from last closing price. If Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.79% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $18.50 (0.05%) than the support at $18.13 (1.95%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. stock A Buy?
The Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. stock holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -2.279 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. of Monday, July 1, 2024
| Fair opening price July 1, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $18.59 ( 0.559%) | $18.49 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for ABR-PD
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 18.92 | 2.34% |
| R2 | 18.80 | 1.66% |
| R1 | 18.72 | 1.24% |
| Price | 18.49 | |
| S1 | 18.47 | -0.123% |
| S2 | 18.39 | -0.544% |
| S3 | 18.26 | -1.23% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 18.84 | 1.89% |
| R2 | 18.83 | 1.86% |
| R1 | 18.50 | 0.0541% |
| Price | 18.49 | |
| S1 | 18.13 | -1.95% |
| S2 | 18.10 | -2.11% |
| S3 | 18.04 | -2.43% |
ABR-PD Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Apr 12, 2024 | Apr 12, 2024 | Apr 30, 2024 | $0.398 | 0% |
| 2 | Jan 11, 2024 | Jan 11, 2024 | Jan 11, 2024 | $0.398 | 0% |
| 3 | Oct 12, 2023 | Oct 12, 2023 | Oct 30, 2023 | $0.398 | 0% |
| 4 | Jul 13, 2023 | Jul 13, 2023 | Jul 13, 2023 | $0.398 | 0% |
| 5 | Apr 13, 2023 | Apr 13, 2023 | Apr 13, 2023 | $0.398 | 0% |
FAQ
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