Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation Stock Forecast

Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation stock upgraded from Sell Candidate to Hold/Accumulate after Monday trading session.
(Updated on Apr 29, 2024)

ACRE Signals & Forecast

A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday, April 18, 2024, and so far it has risen 9.20%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $7.19. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $6.80. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation stock

Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation finds support from accumulated volume at $6.94 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.225 between high and low, or 3.28%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.01%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $6.71 (-4.12%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 7 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (ACRE) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 30th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 30th we expect Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation to open at $6.98, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $6.79 and $7.21, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.211 (+/-3.02%) up or down from last closing price. If Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 6.04% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $6.94 (0.86%) than the resistance at $7.24 (3.43%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation stock A Buy?

Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.

Current score: -0.014 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded

Predicted Opening Price for Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation of Tuesday, April 30, 2024

The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.