Adtran Stock Forecast

Sell candidate since Jun 10, 2025 Loss -1.50%

The ADTRAN stock price fell by -0.630% on the last day (Friday, 20th Jun 2025) from $7.94 to $7.89. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.55% from a day low at $7.87 to a day high of $8.07. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -0.88% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 186 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 899 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $7.09 million.

The stock lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -5.70% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $6.45 and $7.87 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.

ADTN Signals & Forecast

There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The ADTRAN stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $8.00. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $7.79. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, May 13, 2025, and so far it has fallen -7.83%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for ADTRAN stock

ADTRAN finds support from accumulated volume at $7.80 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.200 between high and low, or 2.55%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.24%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (ADTN) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 23rd

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 23rd we expect ADTRAN to open at $7.94, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $7.57 and $8.21, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.321 (+/-4.07%) up or down from last closing price. If ADTRAN takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 8.13% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $7.80 (1.14%) than the resistance at $8.03 (1.77%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is ADTRAN stock A Buy?

ADTRAN holds several negative signals and is within a wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock.

Current score: -3.363 Sell Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on June 23, 2025 - $7.94 ( 0.674%).

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