Alliance Entertainment Holding Corp Stock Forecast
High volatility in Alliance Entertainment Holding Corp stock price on Friday which ended trading at $2.98
(Updated on Jun 21, 2024)
The Alliance Entertainment Holding Corp stock price fell by -12.61% on the last day (Friday, 21st Jun 2024) from $3.41 to $2.98. It has now fallen 3 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 23.32% from a day low at $2.83 to a day high of $3.49. The price has fallen in 5 of the last 10 days and is down by -2.93% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 25 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 80 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $238.56 thousand.
The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 64.46% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $4.44 and $6.50 at the end of this 3-month period.
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AENT Signals & Forecast
The Alliance Entertainment Holding Corp stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $3.56. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $2.78. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, June 12, 2024, and so far it has fallen -21.58%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Alliance Entertainment Holding Corp gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs".
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Alliance Entertainment Holding Corp stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $2.75 and $2.73. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Alliance Entertainment Holding Corp finds support just below today's level at $2.75. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $2.73 and $2.59.
This stock may move very much during the day (volatility) and with a very large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "very high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $0.660 between high and low, or 23.32%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 14.05%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $2.83 (-4.90%) (This stock has very high daily movements and this gives very high risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 7 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (AENT) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 24th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 24th we expect Alliance Entertainment Holding Corporation to open at $3.10, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $2.58 and $3.38, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.398 (+/-13.37%) up or down from last closing price. If Alliance Entertainment Holding Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 26.74% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $3.04 (2.01%) than the support at $2.75 (7.72%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Alliance Entertainment Holding Corporation stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for Alliance Entertainment Holding Corp stock to perform well in the short-term.
Current score: 3.044 Buy Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Alliance Entertainment Holding Corporation of Monday, June 24, 2024
Fair opening price June 24, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$3.10 ( 4.03%) | $2.98 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for AENT
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |
---|---|---|
R3 | 3.76 | 26.17% |
R2 | 3.51 | 17.71% |
R1 | 3.35 | 12.49% |
Price | 2.98 | |
S1 | 2.85 | -4.43% |
S2 | 2.69 | -9.66% |
S3 | 2.44 | -18.12% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |
---|---|---|
R3 | 3.67 | 23.15% |
R2 | 3.60 | 20.81% |
R1 | 3.04 | 2.01% |
Price | 2.98 | |
S1 | 2.75 | -7.72% |
S2 | 2.73 | -8.39% |
S3 | 2.59 | -13.09% |
FAQ
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