Arthur J Gallagher & Co Stock Forecast
Arthur J Gallagher & Co stock price up 0.0601% on Friday
(Updated on Sep 22, 2023)
The Arthur J Gallagher & Co stock price gained 0.0601% on the last trading day (Friday, 22nd Sep 2023), rising from $232.94 to $233.08. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.48% from a day low at $231.65 to a day high of $235.07. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 2.14% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -408 thousand shares and in total, 634 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $147.71 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
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The stock lies in the middle of a narrow and strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 10.07% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $250.81 and $260.66 at the end of this 3-month period.
AJG Signals & Forecast
A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, September 19, 2023, and so far it has fallen -1.15%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some positive signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Arthur J Gallagher & Co stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $233.10. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $227.37. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Arthur J Gallagher & Co stock
Arthur J Gallagher & Co finds support from accumulated volume at $230.14 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $3.42 between high and low, or 1.48%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.35%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $224.20 (-3.81%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 3 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (AJG) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 25th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 25th we expect Arthur J Gallagher & Co to open at $233.27, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $229.91 and $236.25, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$3.17 (+/-1.36%) up or down from last closing price. If Arthur J Gallagher & Co takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.72% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $233.11 (0.01%) than the support at $230.14 (1.26%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Arthur J Gallagher & Co stock A Buy?
Several of the signals/indicators are negative, and we believe that this will affect on the development for the next days and maybe possible weeks. However, over time, we think that today's level holds a possible buying opportunity and that the price will be higher during or at the end of this 3-month period.
Current score: 1.791 Open Broker Account
Buy Candidate UnchangedPredicted Opening Price for Arthur J Gallagher & Co of Monday, September 25, 2023
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Fair opening price September 25, 2023 | Current price |
---|---|
$233.27 | $233.08 (Undervalued) |
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Trading levels for AJG
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 236.69 | 1.55 % | |
R2 | 235.38 | 0.99 % | ||
R1 | 234.57 | 0.641 % | ||
Current price: | 233.08 | |||
Support | S1 | 231.96 | -0.480 % | |
S2 | 231.15 | -0.83 % | ||
S3 | 229.85 | -1.39 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 235.78 | 1.16 % | |
R2 | 235.19 | 0.91 % | ||
R1 | 233.11 | 0.0129 % | ||
Current price | 233.08 | |||
Support | S1 | 230.14 | -1.26% | |
S2 | 219.57 | -5.80% | ||
S3 | 212.46 | -8.85% |
FAQ
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About Arthur J Gallagher & Co
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co., together with its subsidiaries, provides insurance brokerage, consulting, third-party claims settlement, and administration services in the United States, Australia, Bermuda, Canada, the Caribbean, New Zealand, India, and the United Kingdom. It operates through Brokerage and Risk Management segments. The Brokerage segment consists of retail and wholesale insurance brokerage operations; assists retail brokers and other n... AJG Profile
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