Arthur J Gallagher & Co Stock Forecast
Red day on Wednesday for Arthur J Gallagher & Co stock after losing 0.393%
(Updated on Apr 17, 2024)
The Arthur J Gallagher & Co stock price fell by -0.393% on the last day (Wednesday, 17th Apr 2024) from $231.43 to $230.52. It has now fallen 7 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.06% from a day low at $230.08 to a day high of $232.51. The price has fallen in 8 of the last 10 days and is down by -6.05% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -8 thousand shares and in total, 704 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $162.27 million.
Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 3.83% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $239.35 and $268.71 at the end of this 3-month period.
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AJG Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Arthur J Gallagher & Co stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $235.85 and $245.98. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, March 20, 2024, and so far it has fallen -9.91%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Arthur J Gallagher & Co stock
Arthur J Gallagher & Co finds support from accumulated volume at $228.78 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $2.43 between high and low, or 1.06%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.59%.
Arthur J Gallagher & Co is oversold on RSI14 (21). Some stocks may drop long and hard while being oversold on RSI before turning, which increases the general risk.
Our recommended stop-loss: $219.51 (-4.78%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. Low RSI14 is 21 which reduces the risk some. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 19 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (AJG) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 18th
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 18th we expect Arthur J Gallagher & Co to open at $231.04, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $226.85 and $234.19, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$3.67 (+/-1.59%) up or down from last closing price. If Arthur J Gallagher & Co takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.18% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $232.16 (0.71%) than the support at $228.78 (0.75%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Earnings coming up
Arthur J Gallagher & Co will release earnings BMO on Thursday, April 25, 2024.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is $3.42. We will update the financials statements for Arthur J Gallagher & Co, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 2.05% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is Arthur J Gallagher & Co stock A Buy?
Arthur J Gallagher & Co holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.
Current score: -0.191 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Arthur J Gallagher & Co of Thursday, April 18, 2024
Fair opening price April 18, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$231.04 ( 0.224%) | $230.52 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for AJG
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 233.47 | 1.28 % | |
R2 | 232.54 | 0.88 % | ||
R1 | 231.96 | 0.627 % | ||
Current price: | 230.52 | |||
Support | S1 | 230.11 | -0.178 % | |
S2 | 229.54 | -0.427 % | ||
S3 | 228.61 | -0.83 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 236.26 | 2.49 % | |
R2 | 233.03 | 1.09 % | ||
R1 | 232.16 | 0.711 % | ||
Current price | 230.52 | |||
Support | S1 | 228.78 | -0.755% | |
S2 | 0 | . | ||
S3 | 0 | . |
AJG Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Jan 24, 2024 | Feb 29, 2024 | Mar 15, 2024 | $0.600 | 0.237% |
2 | Oct 25, 2023 | Dec 01, 2023 | Dec 15, 2023 | $0.550 | 0.247% |
3 | Oct 25, 2023 | Nov 30, 2023 | Dec 15, 2023 | $0.550 | 0.247% |
4 | Jul 26, 2023 | Aug 31, 2023 | Sep 15, 2023 | $0.550 | 0.239% |
5 | Apr 26, 2023 | Jun 01, 2023 | Jun 16, 2023 | $0.550 | 0.257% |
FAQ
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